Property Hunter Magazine Property Hunter Magazine Issue 55 - June 2014 | Page 64

52  53 | Contributor /// Banking and Investment News $₤ ¥ € BANKING & INVESTMENT The Rich Buys Real Estate, the Poor Wants Gold Malaysian Property Market Falls 10.9% in Volume, Rises 6.7% in Value NEWS The banking and investment industry has a crucial role to play when it comes to property. Read about the most recent news and trends in this trade HSBC conducted an online survey to find out about the view of the Malaysian public regarding property developments overseas. According to the survey, 45.5% of Malaysians invest in properties abroad for growing wealth, 23.6% for migration purposes, 18.2% for family and children, and 12.7% for retirement. 87.3% of Malaysians also admitted to being ill informed about properties overseas. 64 www.PropertyHunter.com.my When making a decision about purchasing properties in foreign countries, 21.8% of Malaysians source information from websites and blogs, another 21.8% get advice from banks and financial institutions, 21.8% gather knowledge from property development companies, 16.4% find out about developments overseas from family members, 12.7% read about it in newspapers and magazines, plus 5.5% learn about it from friends. Consider the differences between what the wealthy and poor believe is the best longterm investment: legal system; that you will be secure in that property, and no one can illegally take it from you. I am fascinated each year when Gallup Poll asks Americans to choose the best option among real estate, stocks and mutual funds, gold, savings accounts and CDs, or bonds. The results are a pop psychologist’s dream of cognitive issues, belief systems and ideologies. See the following chart: Malaysian Invest Overseas to Gain Wealth If you want to know what someone’s views of society are, ask what they believe is the best long-term investment. Upper-income Americans are much more likely to say real estate and stocks are the best investment, possibly because of their experience with these types of investments. Upper-income Americans are most likely to say they own their home, at 87%, followed by middle (66%) and lowerincome Americans (36%). Gallup found that homeowners (33%) are slightly more likely than renters (24%) to say real estate is the best choice for long-term investments. Stocks are similar: Investing in them reflects a long-term faith that the nation will continue expanding its production of goods and services. Stocks are an optimistic asset class almost by definition. Now, before we get into the details, some caveats: First, people often don’t really know what they want or think. Instead, when questioning people about their hopes and desires, we end up with a distorted mass-media version of a bad Robin Leach television series. Sad but true, often we don’t know what we want out of life. Second, survey responses are not all they appear to be. There is value in the collective data, but we need to dive into the details to tease out some fascinating cultural differences. Note what happens when we divide the survey responses along income lines. We discover some very telling things about the American psyche. Now compare that with this: Lower-income Americans, those living in households with less than $30,000 in annual income, are the most likely of all income groups to say gold is the best long-term investment choice, at 31%. Upper-income Americans are the least likely to name gold, at 18%. The wealthy like real estate and equities; the poor prefer gold. It isn’t too hard to figure out why. Buying and investing in real estate requires several things: Steady income, saved money for a down payment and decent credit. But it also reflects a faith in the legitimacy of the local property laws and It also is worth noting that starting a business requires more than capital; it requires a specific type of optimism beyond mere economic hope of success -- a belief that the existing economic, legal and governmental system, if not perfectly fair, at least isn’t wildly arbitrary or capricious. In other words, your business will rise or fall on its merits. The Rise and Fall of Gold More pop psychology:Gold is more or less portable; it often can be traded extra-legally. It is a disaster currency that will have value even in a Mad Max era when society breaks down. Gold reflects a hedge against the potential collapse of the existing order; it is a pessimistic investment. What do you believe you think? How would you answer those questions? Have you given much thought to what you actually believe? The Malaysian property market saw a decline of 10.9% in volume for the year 2013, with 381,130 transactions done compared to 427,520 in 2012. However, it saw a 6.7% increase in value, with RM152.37 billion done for 2013 compared to RM142.84 billion a year ago, according to the Property Market Report. It said the residential sub-sector continued to spearhead the property market activities, taking up 64.6% share. “Prevailing low interest rate environment, with the base lending rate of commercial banks sustaining at 6.53%, and weighted average lending rate to 5.4% continued to support the domestic property market,” it said. It added the Bank Negara Malaysia’s pre-emptive strategies to preserve household sector resilience through application of 70% loan-to-value ratio on third housing loans onwards as well as guidelines on responsible funding, had gradually impacted the housing market. It noted the overhand performance continued to improve as the number of residential overhang dropped further to 13,547 units in 2013. On the contrary, the overhand value increased from RM4.74 billion to RM4.8 billion in 2014. On the supply side, completio