Property Hunter Magazine Property Hunter Magazine Issue 55 - June 2014 | Page 42

/// Contributor Two explanations on how these values have been calculated: The monthly loan repayment takes into consideration the newly revised, by Bank Negara, rules on DSR (Debt Servicing Ratio) and some average commitment that every household normally has while the step from “per capita” to “per household” uses a 1.5 ratio only considering both couple’s commitments and normal differences in payout between husband and wife. I hope these numbers will help all readers to better understand the meaning of affordability and how it differs on a nationwide basis. These values are median and if we look at Johor state and try to extrapolate real values for Iskandar Malaysia, looking into the major economic developments that the “special region” has been going through my personal take is that affordable values should be look at as included between RM200,000 and maximum RM450,000 or, if you prefer RM250 to RM450 psf looking at livable spaces of 850 to 1,100 sq.ft. Maybe I’m wrong but, that I’m aware of, there are several development projects which are offering livable houses within these values. For sure purchasers shouldn’t be looking for their dreamhome nearby Danga Bay or in JBCC but widen up north and east their range of search in what I define as the Iskandar Malaysia Affordable Corridor of growth (Chart 9). Maybe I’m wrong but, that I’m aware of, there are several development projects which are offering livable houses within these values. Property Developers Planning Further Price Hikes ‘40% Gap Between Affordable Housing Supply and Demand’ According to Napic data since 2011, house prices has risen between 9.96% and 12.3% annually on average. Kuala Lumpur has the most expensive houses with house prices averaging at RM534,216 per unit in 2012. Sabah and Selangor follow with average per unit prices of RM382,160 and RM374,815 respectively. Potential home buyers hoping that the cooling measures introduced by the government which have put the brakes on the residential property sector, will result in lower prices of new property will be sorely disappointed. Far from lowering prices, a Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (MIER) survey shows that 53% of the builders surveyed plan to hike property prices in the second quarter (Q2) while the rest say they will not raise or slash their prices anytime soon. With higher cost of construction translating into higher home prices, MIER says the survey shows the respondents who raised prices of their residential property in Q1FY14 have risen sharply to 47% from 23% in the previous quarter. For the third consecutive quarter, no respondents lowered prices of their residential property in Q1. Despite a slowdown in sales of residential property, construction of homes is likely to gather momentum with 47% of the respondents indicating they plan to build more houses soon. ‘Loose purse strings contributed to house price surge’ The mismatch between affordable housing supply and demand in the country stands at 40% difference, says Housing Minister Abdul Rahman Dahlan. Quoting data from the Department of Statistics Household Income Survey 2012, Abdul Rahman said that approximately 80% of Malaysians earn below RM6,954 per month, and that this group can only afford houses priced at RM300,000 and below based on the credit line of 30% of net income at the current base lending rate (BLR) of 6.6%. In comparison, National Property Information Centre (Napic)’s 2012 report stated that only 31.7% of all new housing units launched were priced below RM250,000, said Abdul Rahman. “This shows that there is imbalance between the demand and supply of houses towards the right target group in Malaysia.” “There still exists a serious gap of about 40% between the provision of affordable housing below RM300,000 compared with the demand,” said Abdul Rahman. “Of concern is the fact that income growth has not been keeping in tandem with (rising house prices).” Credits and sources: Napic Property Market Report 2011 and 2012, Government Department of Statistics (Household income and basic amenities Survey Report 2012), IRDA, REI group Archives, Ho Chin Soon Research maps Dr. Daniele Gambero, CEO and co-founder of REI Group of Companies, gives presentations on the property market and welcomes feedback at: [email protected] 42 www.PropertyHunter.com.my Abdul Rahman added that affordable housing accessibility has become a more critical problem among the middle income group, which is why the government has introduced the 1Malaysia People’s Housing Program (PR1MA). The minister also touched on the current regime of low interest rates which has made housing loans particularly attractive, in turn leading to gro