Property Hunter Magazine Property Hunter Magazine Issue 53 - April 2014 | Page 86

/// Banking and Investment News Possible Regulatory Ruling Detrimental for Malaysian Banks “Those which do not meet the requirements would have to increase their CA (and ultimately credit cost) in CY14-15 even if their asset quality is improving.” New Conditions to Curb Property Speculation Soon to Be Imposed For banks with CA ratio of above 1.2%, the new ruling would limit the room for them to further reduce their CA ratios, it highlighted. A possible regulatory ruling requiring banks to maintain a minimum collective assessment (CA) ratio of 1.2% over total loans will have a negative impact for banks here. Industry sources have indicated that there could soon be a new regulatory ruling which requires banks to maintain a minimum collective assessment (CA) inclusive of regulatory reserve ratio of 1.2% over total loans (excluding government loans and net of individual assessment provisions) from December 15 onwards. Analysts at CIMB Investment Bank Bhd (CIMB Research) registered surprise should this be implemented as domestic banks’ asset quality have been improving over the past few years. “We see this as a potential prudential measure for banks to build up their reserves against any rise in impaired loans in the future,” it highlighted in a research report. According to CIMB Research’s calculations, four banks namely Maybank, Public Bank, Affin and Alliance had CA ratios of below 1.2% at end-of September 2013. 86 “We do not view this as alarming as most of them, especially Public Bank, have strong asset quality. “Public Bank has a shortfall because it took the opportunity to reduce its CA ratio from 1.5% to 0.7% upon the full adoption of FRS139 between 2010 to 2012, supported by its strongest asset quality. “Its gross impaired loan ratio of 0.6% at the end of September 2013 was less than half of the industry’s 1.4% and unrivaled by other local banks. “Its loan loss coverage stood at a comfortable level of 117.3% at the end of September 2013 versus 97.9% for the industry.” For Affin and Alliance, CIMB Research said their CA ratios were lowered by several rounds of write-backs in the past few years. Nevertheless, itnoted that they would have to top up their CA in CY14-15, potentially leading to a rise in credit costs even though the impaired loan ratio is expected to be stable. “Based on our estimates, this could lower banks’ net profits by between 0.5% (for Hong Leong Bank) and 11% (Public Bank) in CY14 to CY15. www.PropertyHunter.com.my “Though margin contraction could be less severe in 2014, we do not advise investors to raise their holdings in banks due to the potential slowdown in loan growth. “We expect banks’ asset quality to be stable but the potential higher requirement for CA ratio could lead to a rise in banks’ credit costs.” Minister of Urban Wellbeing, Housing and Local Government, Datuk Abdul Rahman Dahlan The Ministry of Urban Wellbeing, Housing and Local Government plans to enforce a new condition to curb property speculation, said its Minister Datuk Abdul Rahman Dahlan. He said property developers who intended to make bulk sales of more than four units must obtain prior approval from the Controller of Housing. The ministry is talking to Real Estate and Housing Developers’ Association of Malaysia (REHDA) and expected to announce the measure in a month’s time, Abdul Rahman said. The new enforcement would be prescribed as a mandatory requirement in every advertisement and sale permit for housing development, he told reporters today. “The government will continue its various measures to help the people own houses, and weed out unhealthy speculative activities in the housing sector,” he said. The ministry, however, didn’t plan to undertake extreme measures to curb property speculation because the market had to work on its own mechanism, he said. “It’s a free market. Prices should be determined by supply and demand,” he said. The minister also said the government might raise the budget for MyHome scheme this year. “If the project is well received, we could pump in more money,” Abdul Rahman said. The government recently announced an allocation of RM300 million for the private affordable ownership housing programme, to be launched on April 1. Under the scheme, the government will subsidise first-time buyers, who earn less than RM3,000 a month, up to RM30,000 to purchase low-cost houses. Qualified applicants can apply online when more details are announced closer to the launch date, the minister said.