Property Hunter Magazine Property Hunter Magazine Issue 50 - January 2014 | Page 71

leading to a rise in credit costs, and dampen investor sentiment on the banking sector,” he added. The circular prohibits financial institutions from granting end-financing facilities to individuals or nonindividuals for the purchase of property offered under an ICS, including the DIBS. Financial institutions are also barred from granting a bridging facility to finance a property development that offers ICS. According to Alliance Research’s Cheah, this effectively removes any alternative incentives that developers might concoct to replace the DIBS. “Nonetheless, our channel checks show that for the banking groups under our coverage, property loans with the DIBS only made up 1% to 3% of their outstanding mortgages,” he said. Affin Bank is the exception, with some 7% of its mortgage loanbook comprising loans tied to the DIBS. “Given that property loans with the DIBS are immaterial to overall outstanding mortgage loans as well as new mortgage loans approved, we do not expect the restrictions to have a significant impact on the banking sector,” Cheah said. Public Bank has the highest exposure to housing loans at 56% of its gross loans, followed by Alliance Bank with 55% and Hong Leong Bank, 46%, company data showed. Another key item on the circular requires banks to calculate the LTV ratio based on the net price of a property instead of its gross price. To illustrate, a property with a list price of RM1 million, rebate of 5% and 90% financing would incur a down payment of RM50,000 after discount. Under the new regime, the down payment increases to RM95,000 because the 90% loan will be computed using the discounted price tag of RM950,000. While property executives expect a slowdown in sales, they believe that genuine buyers will remain undeterred. Mah Sing Group Bhd group managing director and CEO Tan Sri Leong Hoy Kum told StarBiz via email that demand for properties would continue to be robust, especially among those buying to own or for longterm rental income. “There is still a large supply-demand gap as supply growth for properties has been on a decreasing trend since 2003, with Malaysia’s supply growth in the second quarter of this year at only 0.8%. “The fundamentals driving the property market’s growth in recent years have not changed, for example a younger population leading to new household formation, a rising middle-income group, the supplydemand gap and stable employment. “Initiatives in Budget 2014 may remove the speculative element, but not the fundamentals,” he said. Leong noted that the lending environment was still conducive, with low interest rates and banks offering BLR minus 2.4%, from BLR minus 2.1%2.2% a year ago. Mah Sing had stopped offering the DIBS for most of its launches since the start of the year. None of its projects in Iskandar Malaysia feature the DIBS. More Meaures to Curb Speculation Puts Pressure on Property price has already been practised by some banks, but what the latest ruling by the central bank does is now make it a standard procedure for all banks. “BNM effectively wants to deter the practice of giving 100% housing loans,” he said. New Bank Negara ruling likely to impact housing loan growth A new Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) ruling that requires banks to give out property loans based on net selling price, which excludes rebates and discounts, rather than gross selling price may affect loans growth for banks this year, Alliance Research Sdn Bhd said. Its analyst Cheah King Yoong said a BNM circular sent out to banks last Friday announced not only the expected ban on the developers interest bearing scheme (DIBS) and the interest capitalisation scheme (ICS), but also an unexpected rule for all banks to determine their loan-to-value (LTV) ratio based on net selling price rather than gross selling price. Banks can no longer provide financing for projects approved by authorities with DIBS on or after Nov 15, 2013 effective immediately. While those projects approved before Nov 15 have until Jan 1, 2014 before the prohibition is effected. “We currently project 2014 loan growth target of 9%, supported by stronger growth of business loans stemming from the ongoing implementation of Entry Point Projects under the government’s Economic Transformation Plan, which is expected to fill up the vacuum left by the moderation in household loans. However, in light of the more onerous property lending curb, we will be reviewing this target,” Cheah said in a note to clients. The research firm will review its “overweight” recommendation on the banking sector post third quarter 2013 reporting season, after it gets further clarity from management of banking groups under its coverage with regards to the impact of such policies on the banks’ growth prospects. “We believe that the latest policies implemented by BNM illustrate the sheer determination of the authorities to contain the growth of household debt. These measures, together with potential rate hikes by the central bank, fiscal tightening by the federal government and subsidy rationalisation programme next year, could further drag loan growth momentum in the retail segments, temporarily lead to rising credit cost, and dampen investor sentiments on the banking sector,” Cheah said. The circular represents the third attempt by the authorities to contain the growth in household debt since the second half of this year. Household debt to gross domestic product currently stands at 83%, one of the highest in the region. A housing loan agent who declined to be named told SunBiz yesterday that determining LTV based on net selling In the past, banks rely on the sale and purchase value (SPA) in calculating the LTV. Post Budget 2014 however, develo