Pro Installer September 2017 - Issue 54 | Page 50

Skills
50 | SEPTEMBER 2017

Skills

Read online at www. proinstaller. co. uk

WILL YOUR JOB BE TERMINATED BY ROBOTS?

There is a lot of noise in the press at the moment about the rise of robots and what this will mean for jobs. Benjamin Dyer of Powered Now looks at the background and what impact this is likely to have on installers.
Hollywood has a great line in films about robots. The human race is doomed. How will this happen? The‘ singularity’ will be reached, when robots become more intelligent than humans. Then, why would they want the planet cluttered up with the likes of us?
Of course, it’ s Hollywood’ s job to sell films, not produce accurate predictions. So take all of this with a truck load of salt. Having worked in the computer industry for many years, it doesn’ t seem likely that artificial intelligence( AI) is ready to put a death ray together while I need to repeat myself ten times just to ask Siri to open an email.
Having said that and despite my cynicism, AI and robotics are advancing at a terrific pace. While my untimely death doesn’ t look imminent, there are big changes afoot in the robotics universe. And this is going to have a big impact on jobs.
Deja Vu
Automation causing job losses is hardly new. In fact, it’ s all around us already. Five hundred years ago, 98 % of the population worked in agriculture. Today it’ s 2 % and these workers help to feed many more people using tractors and the application of science.
The car industry has seen massive changes with numerous roles replaced by machines. These machines don’ t require a salary, they don’ t get sick and they don’ t turn up late after a heavy
night’ s drinking. You can see why bosses like them. There are plenty of other examples where computers have replaced humans.
Automation in the car industry didn’ t look that promising at first. The dreadful Fiat Strada was launched in 1979 and advertised on TV featuring the fact that it was built by robots. Almost immediately a spoof advert came out showing the car driven down the road with the caption,‘ Designed by computer, built by robots’, followed by a horrible pile-up entitled“ Driven by morons”.
Anyway, I thought it was funny.
Despite this, nowadays the car industry is highly automated with specialist robots taking pride of place on the production lines.
Learning from experience
What has changed recently is that there has been a genuine breakthrough in artificial intelligence, particularly involving‘ machine learning’. This is where new systems have been put together which have enabled machines to start learning from experience, like humans do, although in a much more restricted way.
Learning has been helped by the vast amount of information which is captured by internet behemoths like Google, Apple and Amazon. These huge amounts of data are fed into new specialist hardware which look for patterns which are neither suggested nor programmed into them.

Fastbricks Robotics in Australia sells a robot bricklayer called Hadrian which can lay 1,000 bricks per hour

It was as recently as 2012 that Google fed a huge set of images into one of these new machines. The system wasn’ t told anything but it managed to recognise something common across a subset of the images. This turned out to be cats. This might be thought of as trivial, but it was the first time anything like this had been achieved.
There are now a variety of consumer products which have benefited from this new approach, including Alexa from Amazon which is pretty good at recognising speech.
Being able to learn from experience is much more powerful than trying to program rules into a system.
After all, it’ s the instinctive way that humans learn, although when computers learn this way it is has to be in a narrow field to produce decent results. To provide one example of where progress is being made, since this break-through, self-driving cars have rapidly moved from science fiction to getting close to reality. It’ s the developments in machine learning that have made this possible.
Better and cheaper robots have been being developed for several years. However, adding machine learning has the potential to make them much more flexible and intelligent. It really is a game changer.
Robots focused on single tasks
At the risk of repeating myself, the important point to note is that the new generation of robots tend to only be good at one thing. Here are some of the specialist robots that are actually available on the market today: Cyber-weld provides welding robots; Dyson along with Samsung have increasingly capable robot cleaners; Fastbricks Robotics in Australia sells a robot bricklayer called Hadrian which can lay 1,000 bricks per hour.
The range of activities that can be done is only going to increase and we are only at the start of applying this new wave of artificial intelligence to robotics.
Who should be worrying
The good news is that the jobs that look like they might be under threat are very different from those that have previously been automated. The Law Society recently outlined their thoughts in‘ The Future of Legal Services’. Their view is that:“ Numerous legal tech companies, universities and law firms are now exploring the extent to which the cognitive domain of lawyers can be automated”.
Surprisingly, in the accounting profession the ACCA have published‘ Professional Accountants – the future’. This includes an unpopular opinion for the profession in words that say:“ Smart software and