Plumbing Africa February 2020 | Page 39

37 ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY All the talk in the world doesn’t seem to make people ready to pay for energy efficiency. her official residence in Waterkloof, Tshwane, as a pilot project and case study, but it was found that its location in the lee of a forested cliffside meant it was literally impossible to convert. “That is more the exception than the rule but shows why you need someone who knows what he’s doing before embarking on a R20 000 installation.” that investment will undoubtedly save money, that kind of horizon requires certainty one will be in one’s home for that period of time (or that one can sell the home for a price that includes the cost of the solar system), as well as taking the risk that the unit lasts the full working life of 15 to 20 years. What is likely to enforce an increase in uptake of solar water heating systems is the continued increase in Eskom tariffs, says Bredenkamp: “The forecast is for double-digit increases in tariff for the next couple of years and I think this may bring about a resurgence in interest in them in the middle to higher income group.” One way to look at it is how much electricity one will be able to buy over the next five years for the price of a solar geyser, and how much that electricity saved will be worth. This is done by working out the monthly repayment that would be due for an option if it were fully financed over five years at the current prime interest rate. Then calculate how much electricity that monthly repayment amount would buy over the next five years, using the current municipal electricity rate in Johannesburg as it is due to escalate over the coming years and a 3% inflation increase in price for 2022 and 2023. If it’s not an ethical decision, how does the financial case work? Many of the savings on alternative water heating systems, whether solar or heat pumps, involve changes in behaviour, which is not a financial matter. Even oft-touted timers on geysers are shown to bring about savings only by changing people’s behaviour rather than actual energy efficiency. These calculations often rely on financial gymnastics such as families changing their bath and shower times to maximise solar heating of water, or are sometimes based on cheaper systems with tanks too small to be effective. Installing a solar water heating system remains a serious investment. While a long enough investment horizon for February 2020 Volume 25 I Number 12 In conclusion The rule of thumb is that solar systems are assumed to save around 50% on water heating costs, and real-world testing in South Africa has corroborated that number. At the moment, solar water heaters are ‘sold’ rather than ‘bought’ and a change in the financial case is what would be needed to cause that resurgence more than all the talk in the world about Climate Change. PA www.plumbingafrica.co.za