Future Population Projections
The Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity prepares population projections for
communities within the state. Table 2‐2 shows the population projections for the JLUS
communities. All of the JLUS partner communities are projected to increase in
population by at least 150 percent from 2010 to 2050. These rates of change are greater
than the state, which indicates heavy population growth in the JLUS Project Area.
As projections, these population numbers are not exact, but are estimated to help cities
and counties to develop land use priorities to minimize impacts from future growth and
manage new development.
Table 2-2 Population Projections by JLUS Community from 2010 to 2050
Community
Arizona
Pinal County
Population Projections
2010
Census
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
6,401,569 7,346,787 7,944,753 8,535,913 9,128,899 9,706,815 10,265,015 10,820,872
376,369 463,463 527,859
604,769 696,738
Population Percentage
Change
Change
2010‐2050 2010‐2050
4,419,303 69%
800,707 913,286 1,035,522 659,153 175%
City of Eloy 16,631 21,966 31,969 44,282 57,357 73,471 93,588 115,581 98,924 594%
Town of
Florence 25,536 29,970 33,337 36,665 42,220 48,150 53,349 58,644 41,987 252%
Town of
Marana 35,051 49,588 57,937 66,496 75,570 83,857 92,917 100,881 65,830 188%
Town of
Queen Creek 26,448 43,200 55,900 59,200 62,400 64,100 65,000 66,000 39,552 150%
Source: 2010 population numbers are from the U.S. Census Bureau, 2010; Queen Creek and Eloy population
projections developed by Maricopa Association of Governments, 2016; all other communities developed by Arizona
Department of Administration, Office of Employment and Population Statistics, 2015
2.3 Housing Trends
Housing trends indicate economic activity and vitality in an area through their
relationship to areas of population growth. In slower‐growing areas, housing data may
reveal population decline or out‐migration. These trends also represent market decisions
relating to home ownership or rental properties. The rate of housing development is a
strong indicator of the overall rate of development taking place in a region, which may
result in potential incompatible land uses in conjunction with operations at the AZARNG
sites. Essentially, housing trends have the potential to indicate future types of
residential and commercial development. The following information includes housing
market trends, median monthly gross rents, and median home values within the
JLUS Project Area.
Background Report
2-19