Outlook English - Print Subscribers Copy Outlook English, 26 February 2018 | Page 62
Debunking Risk Series
Reinvestment Risk: How To Buckle It
When interest rates on fixed deposits slide, consider other options like
equity and gold to fetch long-term regular income
I
n 2002, Mr Iyer decided to take voluntary
retirement. Still in his early 50s, and a banker
with a public sector bank, he first calculated how
much he needed for his monthly expenses. He also
budgeted other expenses like healthcare and costs of
his daughter’s higher education. Being an experienced
banker, he was meticulous with numbers. He decided to
invest in a fixed deposit and in bonds.
Iyer’s fixed deposit was for five years while the
bonds were of 10 years. With more than two-and-a-
half decades of banking experience, his planning was
thorough. After all, he had been familiar with both
interest rate movements and corresponding inflation.
About five years into his retirement, he, however,
started feeling the pinch. When his fixed deposit
matured, he renewed it for another five years. But
as interest rates dropped, he started earning less.
Meanwhile, cost of living kept going up. He managed to
somehow stick to this plan for another three years, but
his capital soon started eroding. As a banker, he knew
that was not a good sign.
While his bonds were earning a higher rate of interest,
the returns on newer bonds in the market were much
lower. This meant that when his bonds mature, new
investments would offer lower interest.
Mr Iyer knew that it was time to explore other
opportunities as his income from interest will not be
sufficient to meet his needs. By now, he was already in
62 OutlOOk 26 February 2018
his early sixties, and had no medical liabilities.
While he understood risk as a banker, he
ignored to look into reinvestment risk. This is
a typical problem with many of us.
To meet any kind of long-term regular
income requirement, investing in fixed
interest investments have inherited risk.
When fixed deposits and bonds mature, there
is a possibility that interest rates have gone
down and, renewed interest earning could be
lower compared to earlier earning.
Always factor in reinvestment risk while
investing in fixed deposit, bonds, etc. Risk
here means that eventuality may or may not
happen. This, however, does not mean that
when a fixed deposit or bond matures, interest earned
on renewed fixed deposit or bond will be lesser than the
older one. But there is a possibility that it may happen.
How to deal with risk?
For long-term regular income, avoid investing only in
fixed deposits or bonds. Instead, invest a small portion
in equity or gold. One can invest directly or through a
mutual fund. That small portion will be able to generate
higher returns and ensure appreciation in capital.
Another strategy to ensure while investing in fixed
deposit and bonds is to have different maturity periods.
That is, if you have `10 lakh to invest, instead of
investing all of them in a five-year fixed deposit, invest in
a plan with a staggered maturity period of three, five and
seven years, based on your fund requirement.
While investing in fixed deposits or bonds for regular
income, please be careful with reinvestment risk.
Gaurav Mashruwala
(Financial Planner & Author
of Yogic Wealth)
[email protected]