Outlook English - Print Subscribers Copy Outlook English, 06 August 2018 | Page 16

POLLS AHEAD PTI by Salik Ahmad W ITH Prime Minister Naren- dra Modi and BJP presi- dent Amit Shah visiting Raj­asthan within a span of two weeks, the state is heat- ing up to the assembly polls due in December. Over the past 25 years, the state government has been run in turns by the BJP and the Con- gress with an almost religious regu- larity. As the BJP’s Vasundhararaje completes her second term as CM, the anti-incumbency odds may well fav­ our the Congress. Modi and Shah have probably sensed this, and hence the urgency to make a head start. Like in 2013, elections will be held in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chh­ attisgarh together. That time, when the BJP managed a clear majority in all three states and it was projected as the first solid testimony to the might of the “Modi wave”, the most impressive win was in Rajasthan, where the party bagged 163 seats, up from 78 in 2008. Losing this major state in the Hindi belt a few months before the 2019 general elections would, therefore, be a big setback for the saffron party. The BJP’s traditional votebank here includes the Rajputs, who are pretty miffed this time. “Why did the BJP not appoint Gajendra Singh Shekhawat as the state party chief?” asks Giriraj Singh Lotwara, who heads the Shri Rajput Sabha (SRS) and has famously called the BJP a “Bohut Jhoothi Party (very untru­ stworthy party)”. “Vasundhara was ele­ vated by Bhairon Singh Shekhawat, a Rajput, but she opposed Gajendra Singh’s elevation on caste grounds. The party also treated senior leader Jaswant Singh with disrespect and denied him a ticket in the 2014 general elections.” Lotwara, however, is quick to clarify that the Rajputs, who voted against the BJP in the recent bypolls, are willing to reconsider their attitude if the party tries to be conciliatory. Apparently, the Brahmins too are upset. After MLA Ghanshyam Tiwari quit the BJP over allegations of corruption, high-handedness and favouritism aga­ inst Vasundhara, messages accusing the party of disrespecting Brahmins were circulated on Brahmin-dominated WhatApp groups like ‘Jai Parshuram Ji’. Arguing that the BJP’s social engineer­ 16 OUTLOOK 6 August 2018 HOLDING FORT CM Vasundhararaje with state BJP chief M.L. Saini No Desert Storm So Far All’s not well with the ruling BJP, but rival Congress is yet to show it has the chutzpah to win Rajasthan ing has failed miserably, Rajiv Gupta, retired professor of sociology at the University of Rajasthan, says anti-­ incumbency will favour the Congress, but it lacks the aggression needed at this stage. “There have been numerous occa­ sions when the Congress should have camped on the roads in protest, but the leaders have been quite lax. If this According to retired ­ rofessor Rajiv Gupta, p there’s anti-incumbency, but the Congress lacks the aggression needed at this stage. doesn’t change, the BJP may trump the Grand Old Party with its money, muscle power and electoral mastery,” he says. As the BJP’s CM candidate, Vasundhara will undertake a 40-day yatra in August, starting from the Charbhuja temple in Rajsamand and covering 180 of the 200 constituencies. Nationalism and devel­ opment will be the central themes. Her two previous yatras were in 2003 and 2013, when she was trying to wrest power from the Congress. She did not take out a rally towards the end of her first term as CM in 2008 because she probably sensed it was a lost cause. With Modi’s popularity backing her now and given the uncertainty over whether she can have another chance to be CM five