56 Investor Report Industrial Hemp Sector New Zealand ’ s New Export Opportunity 2020
APPENDIX 1 - SCENARIO MODELLING ASSUMPTIONS
Extracts Value ( cannabinoids etc ) in 2030 - NZ $ 1.5 billion
• 1,000 hectares CBD flowers planted
• Using Wine share as a surrogate variable for the CBD market- NZ has 1 % of the global wine production in 2019 and 1.5 % of total CBD / cannabinoid nutraceuticals
• Total = NZ $ 2.0 billion ( 2 % of the global market )
Fibre value in 2030- $ 317 million
• 10,000 hectares of Hemp fibre is planted in 2030
• Fibre : 80 % medium to high tech applications , 20 % low tech
• Hurd : 20 % low tech applications , 80 % medium to high tech
• Total = $ 317 mil
Seed Value in 2030 - $ 183 million
• 10,000 hectares for seed planted in 2030
• Pressed oils- bulk 20 %
• Pressed oils -own brand- 5 %
• Pressed oils with cannabinoids removed
1 %
• Nutraceutical extracts from seeds / hulls 5 %
• Seeds and fibre for food manufacturers 50 %
• Own brand / health products 19 %
Job Creation in 2030 Hemp is comparable to the Wine Industry which has a similar industry value chain and 20,000 jobs :
• Growers
• Wine makers
• International wine marketing
• Hemp estimate - 20,000 full time jobs ( based on $ 100,000 / job with $ 2 billion revenues ).
APPENDIX 2 - BIBLIOGRAPHy
5 . Hempseed in food industry ; nutritional value , health benefits and industrial applications , William Leonard et al , 2019
10 . Report 2018 ‘ top-10- US-States ’