Nordicum - Real Estate Annual Finland 2012 | Page 65

lion. From the looks of things, the return to a normal transaction volume won’t happen for a while now. Also property financing is harder to come by nowadays. Catella predicts that once the banks move towards the even stricter Basel III regulations, which tighten the banks’ return requirements, more strain is put on the price and availability of future property financing. Especially banks dependent on wholesale funding will have to strain lending in the future. It is nevertheless unlikely that property financing will totally freeze, says Ahonen. “Good properties will continue to receive bank financing if they meet a certain criteria.” This means that the foundation of the property must be solid, loan-to-valueratio moderate and the plans of the owner plausible. For Real Estate Excellence in Nordic and Baltic countries Leverage Still Possible The interest level is likely to remain at the low level of recent years with the new economic threats forcing the hand of the European Central Bank – as a consequence, the interest rates are dropping. “This will keep the yield spread between properties and interests more or less unchanged, which makes it possible to use loan leverage efficiently also in the future in cases where new financing is achieved,” Tuomas Ahonen comments. According to Catella, because of the low interest rate, it is also conceivable that potential problem loans, which have been a much talked about subject in the property market for quite a while, will remain unresolved. This may happen, if the banks do not see a justified cause or are not pushed to realise their losses in the current non-liquid market situation, but instead extend the loan maturities and wait for the situation to be cured by itself in time. Töölönlahti Leads the Way In Helsinki, it is noteworthy that there is a constant short supply of retail space to be let in the city centre. Furthermore, retail space is more recession-resilient than office space, as there are fewer alternative locations for retail. Uncertain conditions also highlight coming years, the Helsinki city centre will also witness a relocation of office users involving tens of thousands of square metres, once the Töölönlahti office area will be completed. In December, it was announced that UPM will build a new head office to Töölönlahti area in the Helsinki city centre. The company has applied for building permit from the City of Helsinki. UPM views the business cycle to be favourable for the company, and has agreed with the constructor, nordea.com YIT Corporation, that construction work will commence in early 2012. Previously in the same neighbourhood, Etera won the competitive tendering organised by Senaatti-kiinteistöt for the area’s third office quarter. The construction of the area is well under way with the support of Lemminkäinen, which is in charge of building and letting. The three quarters have a total of 45,000 m2 of permitted building volume. With the emerging new construction, the Helsinki city centre will gain a substantial amount of new, modern office space that is lacking in the neighbourhood. The main user of the first building that will be completed by the end of 2012 is Alma Media. KPMG will be the main user of the second building, and the user of the third building has not yet been revealed. Keilaniemi: Finishing Touches Another interesting milieu by the water is Keilaniemi in Espoo which is known as the “home shore” for Finnish corporate giants such as Nokia, Kone and Fortum. The high profile office neighbourhood is nearing its completion with the newest construction projects: Keilaranta 1 and Swing Plus are already under way, and negotiations with potential tenants to Keilaranta Tower are well in progress. When these projects are finished, Keilaniemi will measure approximately 250,000 m2. Spurred on by the introduction of the metroline, also residential construction looks to be in the cards for Keilaniemi in the near future. Tuomas Ahonen notes that despite economic turmoil, big infrastructure projects such as the metro have the ability to generate good things for their surrounding communities. “The metro stations will benefit from a significant wave of development over the coming years,” Ahonen says, noting that the stimulating effect of the metro is already being felt. In the future, the boundaries of Espoo power triangle Tapiola-Otaniemi-Keilaniemi will blur even further as these three areas will become easily accessible by the metro. An interesting new factor in the equation is the “innovation university” Aalto: due to the concentration of the Aalto University in the hi-tech hub Otaniemi, new projects are under way in the area. For example, the Nokia Research Center will move from Ruoholahti to the new Open Innovation House office building in Otaniemi. Among others, also the European Institute of Innovation and Technology (EIT) will settle into the same property. Nordicum 63