NJ Transit Hub Perspective - Mid-year 2019 | Page 14

NJ TRANSIT HUB PERSPECTIVE | MID-YEAR 2019 Princeton Unlike other transit hubs in New Jersey, Princeton Junction access is via car or shuttle from either the Carnegie Center area at Alexander Road or Princeton Forrestal Center. Access to the train is extremely important to many of the office tenants looking in Princeton due to its proximity to Manhattan, Philadelphia and the Northeast Corridor. BlackRock, for example, maintains is own private van service to and from the Princeton Junction Station. The Hamilton Transit Center, on the other hand, is directly across the tracks from American Metro Center and is very accessible by walking. While vacancy at year end 2016 was at a healthy 16.5 percent, it increased to as high as 29.0 percent during 2018. At first glance this would indicate an unhealthy trend and a softening market. In reality, Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS) vacated 660,000 square feet at 777 Scudders Mill Road upon relocating its operations into a new owned facility, while several tenants moved from Class B to Class A buildings. Most notable being Integra LifeSciences, which vacated more than 100,000 square feet after relocating into 167,000 square feet at 1100 Campus Road in Plainsboro. In addition, Reed Smith moved out of 47,000 square feet at Princeton Forrestal Village and absorbed 40,000 square feet in Carnegie Center. In both instances, the spaces vacated were not considered “main stream Class A” space. However, in the 18 months since BMS moved out of 777 Scudders Mill Road, two leases have been executed: Genmab leased 90,000 square feet and Croda leased 60,000 square feet. The new ownership of 777 Scudders Mill Road is creating a corporate campus to rival Carnegie Center, but on a smaller scale. Also, there is substantial activity with tenants in the 25,000-square-foot to 50,000-square-foot plus ranges, many of whom are life sciences/pharmaceutical companies either locating/relocating their operations to the Princeton area or expanding their operations. The Princeton transit hub market exhibited signs of stabilization during the first half of 2019. In addition to renewals/extensions completed in Carnegie Center totaling nearly 200,000 square feet, two subleases were signed for close to 80,000 square feet. With a vacancy rate less than 15.0 percent, there continues to be tenant interest in the limited availabilities at American Metro Center. While the current vacancy numbers, in a vacuum, don’t necessarily support what we’ve outlined above, the activity, the trends and the velocity, coupled with the fact that Boston Properties’ Carnegie Center, a 2.2-million-square foot Class A+ office park, is achieving taking rents in the mid $30.00 per square foot range, indicate that the Princeton market, especially near its transit hubs are on an upswing. We expect to see additional leasing velocity, which will maintain upward pressures on rental rates over the next 12-18 months. Net new supply Princeton is located nearly equidistant between New York City and Philadelphia. Most of the office buildings in this market were developed along U.S. Route 1, which runs to the east of the downtown area. Passenger rail service is accessible via the Hamilton and Princeton Junction train stations located on Amtrak’s Northeast Corridor. The Hamilton Transit Center opened in early 1999 as a stop for New Jersey Transit trains and is located next to a former American Standard factory that was converted into an office campus called American Metro Center. Princeton Junction serves both New Jersey Transit and Amtrak commuters. Rail service from Princeton Junction to the Princeton University campus is provided by a 2.8 mile commuter line called the Dinky. Net absorption total vacancy 100,000 30.0% -100,000 25.0% -300,000 20.0% -500,000 15.0% -700,000 2015 2016 2017 2018 Mid-2019 10.0%