Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment.
From The American Institute for Architects: Momentum Increasing for Architecture Billings Index
The Architecture Billings Index (ABI) is signaling improving conditions for the overall design and construction industry. As a leading economic indicator of construction activity, the ABI reflects the approximate nine to twelve month lead time between architecture billings and construction spending.
The American Institute of Architects (AIA) reported the June ABI score was 53.5, up from a mark of 52.6 in May. This score reflects an increase in design activity (any score above 50 indicates an increase in billings). The new projects inquiry index was 66.4, up noticeably from the reading of 63.2 the previous month and its highest level in a calendar year.
The AIA has added a new indicator measuring the trends in new design contracts at architecture firms that can provide a strong signal of the direction of future architecture billings.
The score for design contracts in June was 55.7 – the highest mark since that indicator starting being measured in October 2010.
“The recent surge in both design contracts and general inquiries for new projects by prospective clients is indicative of a sustainable strengthening across the construction marketplace,” said AIA Chief Economist Kermit Baker, Hon. AIA, PhD.
“With the first positive reading since last summer in billings at institutional firms, it appears that design activity for all major segments of the building industry is growing......
A Reliable Construction Indicator Is Signaling Growth Through 2015
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by Bill McBride on Calculated Risk blog
July 23, 2014