My first Publication ocbc_ar17_fullreport_english | Page 253

39. RISK MANAGEMENT (continued) 39.5 INSURANCE-RELATED RISK MANAGEMENT (continued) Market and credit risk (continued) (I) Sensitivity analysis on financial risks The sensitivity analysis below shows the impact on GEH Group’s net profit after tax by applying possible shocks to each key variable, with all other variables constant. While the co-movement of key variable can significantly affect the fair values and/or amortised cost of financial assets, but to demonstrate the impact due to changes in each key variable, the variables are changed individually. The impact on profit after tax represents the effect caused by changes in fair value of financial assets whose fair values are recorded in the income statement, and changes in valuation of insurance contract liabilities. The impact on equity represents the impact on profit after tax and the effect on changes in fair value of financial assets held in Shareholders’ Funds. Market risk sensitivity analysis Impact on profit after tax $ million 2017 Change in variables: (a) Interest rate +100 basis points –100 basis points (b) LTRFDR +10 basis points –10 basis points (c) Foreign currency 5% increase in market value of foreign currency denominated assets 5% decrease in market value of foreign currency denominated assets (d) Equity 20% increase in market indices STI KLCI 20% decrease in market indices STI KLCI (e) Credit Spread +100 basis points Spread –100 basis points (f) Alternative investments (1) 10% increase in market value of all alternative investments 10% decrease in market value of all alternative investments (1) 2016 Impact on equity 2017 2016 (438.9) 419.3 (93.2) 23.1 (522.2) 509.7 (198.2) 139.4 43.9 (46.7) 17.6 (18.9) 43.7 (46.7) 17.6 (18.9) 108.9 (108.9) 24.3 (24.3) 187.0 (187.0) 90.8 (90.8) 218.9 3.2 17.5 0.5 317.7 42.6 99.8 12.3 (218.9) (3.2) (17.5) (0.5) (317.7) (42.6) (99.8) (12.3) (569.8) 654.5 (277.6) 328.2 (632.5) 712.5 (341.9) 397.4 52.7 (52.7) 21.4 (21.4) 58.4 (58.4) 43.9 (43.9) Alternative investments comprise investments in real estate, private equity, infrastructure and hedge funds. The method for deriving sensitivity information and significant variables did not change from the previous year. BUILDING ON OUR CORPORATE STRATEGY FOR SUSTAINABLE GROWTH 251