MOF-BUDGET Jun. 2016 | Page 368

The Central Bank Of The Bahamas’ Contribution To The 2016-2017 Budget Communication declined by 5.1% to 4.7 million visitors, a reversal from a 2.2% increase in 2014, resulting in a Annex A decrease in overall arrivals by 3.3% to an estimated 6.1 million, vis-à-vis a 2.8% expansion in 2014. By major ports of entry, visitors to New Providence fell by 7.1% to 3.3 million, after the previous year’s slight 0.6% uptick, as the 10.0% reduction in sea arrivals, outweighed the 0.2% rise in air passengers. Similarly, the Family Island market decreased by 6.7% to 1.9 million, vis-àvis a 7.5% gain in 2014, due primarily to an 8.3% contraction in sea traffic, which overshadowed the 6.9% increase in the air segment. In contrast, buoyed by sustained public/private sector marketing initiatives, Grand Bahama experienced a sharp 22.9% growth in visitors to 0.9 million, exceeding the 0.9% uptick a year earlier, owing to a surge in both air and sea passengers by 24.9% and 22.5%, respectively. With regard to hotel performance in 2015, preliminary data revealed a 3.0% rise in total room revenues, exceeding the previous year’s 1.0% gain. The outturn was underpinned by a 2.5 percentage point firming in the hotel occupancy rate to 69.2%, and a 6.0% increase in the average daily room rate (ADR) to $253.88, following the 1.5% rise in the previous year. [368] 2016/2017 DRAFT ESTIMATES OF REVENUE & EXPENDITURE CONSTRUCTION During 2015, the sharp falloff in foreign investment inflows resulted in a contraction in construction sector output. Domestic activity recorded mixed signals, as despite increased support from financing flows, valuations on new projects—partly signaling potential forward looking momentum—stalled. Total domestic mortgage loan disbursements for new construction and building repairs—as reported by banks, insurance companies and the Bahamas Mortgage Corporation— expanded by 23.8% to $120.8 million during the year, exceeding the 8.9% growth reported in 2014. This outturn was due primarily to the recovery in the residential component, which grew by $28.6 million (34.7%) to $111.0 million, a reversal from an 8.1% reduction in the prior year. In contrast, the commercial segment contracted sharply by 35.4% to $9.9 million, following disbursements of $15.3 million in 2014. In the twelve-month period ending September 2015, the latest period for which data is available, construction starts in New Providence and Grand Bahama contracted, with the total number of projects decreasing by 26.1% to 394 and the associated value by 16.2% to $113.9 million. Specifically, residential construction, which constituted 86.3% of the total, declined by 5