Modern Athlete Magazine Issue 128, March 2020 | Page 45

SPORT MAN Says By Manfred Seidler Road to Tokyo Paved with Obstacles The COVID-19 Coronavirus has thrown the world of sport into chaos, and now the question on many lips is will the Tokyo Olympics actually happen later this year? Athletes, coaches, administrators and organisers simply do not have answers yet. Time for Tough Decisions A t the time of writing this column, the Tokyo Marathon was cancelled for non-elite runners – only the elites and wheelchair athletes raced on 1 March – while the Rome Marathon had been cancelled, the Paris Marathon was postponed, and there was talk of both the Boston and London Marathons being cancelled. Meanwhile, other sports were also affected by the Coronavirus. For example, the Sunwolves Super Rugby match was moved from Japan to Australia, and Italian Serie A football league matches were being played behind closed doors, with no fans in the stadiums. Now the Olympics in July/August are in serious danger of also being cancelled. The IOC issued a statement on 3 March that the organisation “remains fully committed to the success of the Olympic Games,” but admitted that it had not discussed contingency plans, in spite of a Japanese government official claiming that the Games could be postponed to a date later in the year. No Alternatives in Sight The reality is that the sporting world has no Plan B should a pandemic hit, because you simply can’t justify putting people at risk by allowing them to travel around the world for sport, whether that be to Tokyo, or an alternative venue – London has been suggested in some circles, or even multiple venues. Granted, COVID-19 is not yet a pandemic, but experts and doctors are concerned by the rapid spread of the virus. Thus far, most cases have occurred in the Northern Hemisphere, which is currently in the throes of winter, and flu strains thrive under those conditions. That said, on 5 March South Africa announced its first case, although this came from someone who travelled to Italy on holiday. I am by no means diminishing the seriousness of the situation, but this column is specifically about the challenges sport has to deal with in the face of what could become a global health risk of extreme proportions, and in particular, how this will affect our 2020 South African Olympians. Already, some of our athletes are feeling the ramifications. Two of our marathon runners were hoping to secure their Olympic qualification at the Paris Marathon on 5 April, which has now been cancelled. Where do they go now? Does that mean they will not be able to qualify? What if the Games are in fact cancelled? This could well mean that a number of athletes will not be able to attend possibly their last Olympics before retiring, or will miss out on their best opportunity of an Olympic medal while at the peak of their sporting powers. Furthermore, an Olympic medallist can command a sizeable appearance fee at international athletics events, so a cancelled Olympics could have long-term financial ramifications for athletes, perhaps even destroy their dreams. One athlete who is in a quandary is Two Oceans and Comrades ultra-marathon champ Gerda Steyn, who is set to run the Olympic Marathon, but right now she simply does not know how she should prepare for the second half of the year. Gerda has put the Comrades on the backburner for 2020 to focus on the Games, but what now? If she runs the Comrades on the chance that the Games may not take place, then she could scupper her chances to run at the Olympics if they do go ahead. Similarly, the track athletes don’t know if the international track season from May to September will be cancelled. The likes of Akani Simbine, Luvo Manyonga, Ruswahl Samaai and others would be severely affected by this, not just in terms of loss of income, but not being competition-fit should the Games then go ahead. Most athletes are going ahead as if the Games will happen, because what choice do they have? It is not in their hands, so they must focus on what they can control. Counting the Costs Spare a thought for Tokyo, though. Should the Games be cancelled, think of the financial resources that have already been thrown at hosting the Games, including building of stadia and venues, and upgrading of infrastructure such as roads, transport and airports. Meanwhile, hotels face cancellations, and tourism and spend in the city will also be affected. The economic impact for the host city could be immense, and similar concerns face hosts of other events. We may even see some events go belly- up because they cannot sustain themselves financially. Whether the Games go ahead or not, this situation has raised questions that the sporting world simply does not have answers to right now, and all event organisers will have to give careful thought to what measures need to be taken. First and foremost, people’s lives and health are paramount. Whether the COVID-19 Virus develops into a true pandemic or not, this is a big wake-up call for sport and life in general. ABOUT THE AUTHOR: Manfred Seidler is a freelance sport journalist who has been in the industry since 1994, in both print media and broadcasting, covering four Olympic Games for SABC Radio, and producing various athletics shows for the SABC. Follow him on Twitter: @sportmansa; Facebook: Sport Man SA; Instagram: sportman_sa. 45