Modern Athlete Magazine Issue 128, March 2020 | Page 11

Guide to COVID-19 Many studies are being conducted in multiple countries and in collaboration between countries, to test anti-viral agents and other drugs, which show promise in combating this virus. It is still early stages, however, and the results may take months before these treatment options become available. Also, work is being done to develop a vaccine. It is anticipated that it may take more than 12 months before there is one, and it may still take many months after that before testing on humans is complete. It is not an immediate solution. So No Races for Now… The WHO has Strategic Preparedness and Response Plans in place to help countries and territories and their governing bodies to be ready to prepare for and respond to COVID-19. In South Africa, the COVID-19 virus pandemic is still in its early transmission phase. The extent of the pandemic is still very much unknown. One positive is that our government was decisive in declaring a State of Disaster early and instituted aggressive containment measures early, such as closing schools and universities. We have a large vulnerable community that may become devastated by the infection should this virus spread uncontrollably. We have healthcare system capacity constraints that may not be able to cope with the numbers of patients, unless we take action to “flatten the curve.” It depends on all of us to heed the call to limit our movement, limit social contact, and limit social gatherings. In the same way, it is up to our running community to support our President and our government in their bid to limit the spread and save the lives of our fellow citizens. You can continue doing what you love, running, just don’t run in groups. The less people each of us come into contact with, the slower the spread of the virus. Cancelled races, even ones as iconic as Two Oceans, Cape Epic or Comrades, are but a small price to pay when human lives are at stake. Let us lead by example. About the Author Dr Caroline Lee is an anaesthetist in private practice at Milpark Hospital in Johannesburg. She is also an avid runner who has travelled extensively across both South Africa and the rest of the world to participate in races (always with camera in hand), including the Two Oceans and Comrades ultra-marathons as well as the London, New York, Paris Berlin and Moscow Marathons. Timeline of the COVID-19 pandemic 31 December 2019 Cases of pneumonia detected in Wuhan, China from 12-29 December are first reported to the World Health Organisation (WHO). Virus still unknown. 7 January 2020 25 February 2020 Italy institutes complete lockdown in a number of towns in Lombardy region after reporting 7 deaths. Death toll in China rises to almost 2600, among 77,262 confirmed cases. Iran reports 95 cases and 15 deaths. Virus identified as a novel coronavirus, initially named 2019- nCoV by Chinese authorities. 6 March 2020 11 January 2020 7 March 2020 China announces first death caused by the coronavirus. 13 January 2020 First case outside of China reported in Thailand 21 January 2020 First case reported in USA. 26 January 2020 Death toll in China rises to 56, and over 2000 cases confirmed. 27 January 2020 Death toll in China now 106, and over 5000 cases confirmed. 2 February 2020 First death outside mainland China recorded in the Philippines. Death toll in China 304, with 14,380 confirmed cases. 11 February 2020 WHO names the coronavirus COVID-19. Death toll in China reaches 1016, with 42,638 infections. 14 February 2020 First death in Europe reported in France. Egypt becomes first African country to report a case. Death toll in China passes 1400. 21 February 2020 Italy reports 6 confirmed cases. First coronavirus case confirmed in South Africa. Worldwide cases exceed 102,000 and COVID-19 has killed nearly 3700 people. Iran, one of the worst hit countries, has reported 4747 cases and 124 deaths in less than two weeks. 9 March 2020 Whole country of Italy goes into lockdown. 11 March 2020 WHO declares a global pandemic, and WHO chief expresses concern over “alarming levels of spread and severity, and by the alarming levels of inaction.” 12 March 2020 Global death toll surpasses 4600, with infections exceeding 126,100 cases. South Africa now has 17 cases. 14 March 2020 South Africa up to 38 confirmed cases. 15 March 2020 South Africa declares a State of Emergency and all gatherings of 100 people or more are prohibited. 22 March 2020 Globally there are 335,403 confirmed cases and 14,611 deaths. South Africa now has 274 confirmed cases. sneeze into a tissue (or a bent elbow) and dispose of the tissue immediately • Stay home if you feel unwell. • If you have fever, cough and difficulty breathing, seek medical attention by calling the National Institute for Communicable Diseases NICD Toll Free line 0800 029 999 for advice on what to do and where to go. • Stay informed and follow advice given by your healthcare provider, your national and local public health facility, or your employer on how to protect yourself and others from COVID-19. 2. Apply Strict containment measures to limit spread. • Measures such as social distancing, adequate quarantine, and responsible self- isolation when unwell, are all effective in limiting rapid spread of the disease. • By preventing social gatherings of people and limiting movement and travel, the spread of the disease is slowed and death rates are lower. • The earlier and more aggressive the social distancing, the better the outcome. 11