Military Review English Edition November-December 2014 | Page 117

NO SHORTAGE OF CAMPFIRES an axiom of German ace Adolph Galland, it is fair to state that an army trying to train for everything trains for nothing.28 So instead, an army must be able to adapt. In light of future resource constraints, the Army certainly realizes it cannot train toward every contingency; it must, however, train to adapt in order to react to every contingency. To do so, it must focus on one particular capability or skill that enhances adaptability and allows flexibility. The Army, like other services, must embrace a medium, a concept, a theme. For example, the U.S. Air Force long pursued the concept of centralized control and decentralized execution. This specific tenet of airpower ultimately identified the Air Force as a genuine stand-alone service.29 It led to the exclusivity of the Air Force in a specific medium. For its part, the U.S. Navy boldly states it will “provide offshore options to deter, influence, and win in an era of uncertainty.”30 Certainly, terrain and the occupation thereof, still matter. But it is a very chaotic terrain. Nevertheless, that is the Army’s domain as espoused by the Army chief of staff with his accurate assessment that the operational security environment is “characterized by great complexity.”31 To manage operational complexity, the Army, as of late, applies a planning process for operational design (the Army design methodology).32 However, operational planning, including design, is a fairly large and detailed process that hinges on something specific in order to be useful. So, what is the one thing the Army must grasp as the sine qua non—the thing that must be understood lest the stick figure described above perish? Certainly, a temptation to concentrate on an end state might perhaps arise, but that would be incorrect. Eisenhower provides the answer. In his book Crusade in Europe, he was implementing design even though he did not use that descriptor. More specifically, Eisenhower concentrates on the all-important idea of operational COG, even though that specific term is not mentioned once, or identified as such. For example, once the Army was able to gain a foothold on the continent of Europe following Operation Overlord, Eisenhower aptly describes what had to be attacked— the “source of power.”33 He clearly states, “This purpose of destroying enemy forces was always our guiding principle.”34 Throughout his book, every aspect of planning hinged on that main point. In some respects Crusade in MILITARY REVIEW  November-December 2014 Europe reads like a case study in design, even if current design terminology—for example, COG—is absent. The emphasis on the design process and operational COG comes at an opportune time. After the fall of the Soviet Union, the world evolved into an incredibly complex environment. Numerous theorists made many attempts to describe it. Thomas H. Henriksen’s pamphlet The New World Order succinctly and accurately captured the era, beginning with this chilling prediction: “Unfortunately for the human race, war has a future.”35 That rather bleak omen seemed out of place at a time when champagne flowed in all the U.S. alert facilities after President George H.W. Bush stood down the nuclear deterrent force.36 Somewhat presciently, Henriksen wrote his dire forewarning almost immediately after the stand down.37 More than two decades later, the Army likely agrees Henriksen’s prediction proved true. As an article in the Wall Street Journal ruefully reported recently, “the dictators are back.”38 In that article, Bret Stephens poignantly posited how the mechanics of democracy are not taking root as wished: Maybe it’s something in the water. Or the culture. Or the religion. Or the educational system. Or the level of economic development. Or the underhanded ways in which authoritarian leaders manipulate media and suppress dissent.39 The words “culture” and “religion” stand out as representing the kinds of challenging issues begging for application of Army analytical and operational expertise so hard-earned over the past decades. The phrase “underhanded ways” in particula "6