Military Review English Edition May-June 2016 | Page 54

in addition to the traditional security issues on the continent—humanitarian crises, ethnic conflict, and health epidemics— have raised Africa’s geopolitical profile.”3 Weak African states with poor internal cohesion have limited capacity to effectively resist foreign aggression, and they are vulnerable to terrorist groups that further destabilize the state, potentially creating sanctuaries for planning terrorism abroad.4 Terrorism is just one aspect of the African continent’s new importance to security. According to Kofi Nsia-Pepra, writing in a 2014 Military Review article, “Contrary to Africa’s strategic insignific ance to the United States in the post-immediate Cold War era, [Africa] gained primacy in post-9/11 due to terrorism, energy sources, and China’s creeping influence into Africa.”5 We need to bolster the continent’s governments and security forces so they can resist violent extremist organizations trying to establish themselves in sanctuaries. We need to reduce the conditions that can make Africa more vulnerable to these influences, and we need to use our resources to leverage individual government and regional initiatives to defeat threats to stability and progress. Africa will, in the near term, be an economy-of-force effort, partly because the United States is dedicating increased military resources to the Asia-Pacific region. The rise of Chinese military and economic power—coupled with uncertainties about how China’s leaders will use that power—make USPACOM a priority theater. Worse, USCENTCOM, which U.S. policymakers once believed had quieted down sufficiently to allow the pivot to USPACOM, has many crises compelling our attention at the expense of USAFRICOM. Numerous challenges make USCENTCOM a continuing drain on American military assets. These challenges include instability in Egypt, the rise of the Islamic State, Iranian efforts to acquire nuclear weapons, Iranian threats to American allies in the Middle East, insecurity of Arabian Gulf oil traffic, civil war in Yemen, and instability in Afghanistan. 52 Finally, U.S. European Command (USEUCOM), once a “peace dividend” command following the collapse of the Warsaw Pact and the Soviet Union, is fully engaged in rebuilding military capabilities in NATO, to refocus on a newly assertive Russia. Therefore, with American defense spending restricted under the impact of sequestration despite increased instability and uncertainty around the globe, these demands mean that USAFRICOM will struggle for resources to cope with its diverse challenges. Complicating USAFRICOM’s missions, this command must project ground power into the continent. Only in Djibouti, in the Horn of Africa region, do we have an enduring military presence focused on counterterrorism operations.6 The lack of a major U.S. presence on the ground in Africa is driven by local aversion to a major “permanent” American military presence on the continent.7 In time, that sentiment may shift as the people and governments see that our activities aid them without infringing May-June 2016  MILITARY REVIEW