Military Review English Edition May-June 2015 | Page 11

MEGACITIES (Photo courtesy of NASA) The image of the Earth at night vividly depicts the city lights of most of the world’s major population centers. The image was created from a composite assembled from data acquired 18 April–23 October 2012 by the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership satellite. patterns of megacities worldwide is only outpaced by the growth of their slums, which account for the bulk of recent urban population growth.1 An ominous report prepared by Swedish-based multinational corporation Ericsson, titled Networked Society: the Next Age of Megacities, forecasts recurring growth patterns among megacities: high growth due to migration and birth rates, large informal settlements and young populations, basic infrastructure and public service needs, corruption and lack of transparency, and a lack of empowerment for poor populations.2 By 2040, several megacities are projected to have more inhabitants than Australia’s current national population of over 23.7 million.3 By 2050, 70 percent of the world’s population will live in cities, with as much as 85 to 90 percent of urban population growth occurring in slums.4 This is important to military planners because future conflict will occur—as it does today—where people live. In the future, they increasingly live in cities and megacities. The U.S. military has never conducted combat operations in a true modern megacity, with the arguable MILITARY REVIEW  May-June 2015 exceptions of security missions after 9-11 in New York City and during the Los Angeles riots in the 1990s. However, the military has confronted many of the same challenges of a megacity’s scope and scale—its vast networks and connections; its population of densely packed, impoverished millions; and the twin ends of improving conditions while battling a determined enemy for control. This was the U.S. military experience in the Baghdad slum district of Sadr City. Sadr City Although not part of a true megacity, Sadr City replicates, on a smaller scale, many of the challenges associated with true megacities worldwide. The tribulations of successive U.S. Army battalions and brigades operating among Sadr City’s 2.4 million people may offer a condensed case study of what awaits divisions and corps operating in future megacities of 20–30 million inhabitants. One of the largest slums on earth, what is commonly called Sadr City, is the al-Thawra (“revolution”) District of Baghdad.5 With an estimated population of 9