Military Review English Edition March-April 2015 | Page 132

marginalize German military advantages. As an aside, the Allies had nine months to mobilize and prepare for the war but wasted this precious time, which was characterized as the Sitzkrieg (the sitting war). The Dyle Plan was not fundamentally flawed.7 The Allied forward occupation of the line generally along the Dyle River did shorten the front substantially. Nevertheless, the failure to anchor the southern flank on the Maginot Line, thereby leaving the Ardennes region essentially undefended, was an unnecessary risk, which presented the Germans with the opportunity to execute an operational envelopment. Nevertheless, even without this blunder, the German army and Luftwaffe so outclassed the Allies, a German decisive victory was probably inevitable, though not quite so swift. The basic idea behind the Maginot Line made strategic sense in that it promised to provide immediate defense of France with a smaller army than was hitherto possible. Its deterrent effect was not tied as much to the restrictions of the Versailles Treaty and alliances as it was to a modern army maintaining a high state of readiness. Had the French army assiduously retained this capability, the French government could have exercised the option to intervene at any point before and including the Sudetenland crisis. As part of its risk assessment, the German government correctly assessed that the French army was a hollow force and the Maginot Line a self-imposed prison. The Air-Sea Battle Nostrum Like the proponents of the Maginot Line, ASB advocates demonstrate a mentality that national security can be assured with a silver bullet; they vow to protect American vital interests most assuredly with joint naval and air power. Currently, ASB is only a concept. However, as political and economic pressures mount, the temptation to elevate it into a strategy will increase correspondingly. The result will be a much smaller active Army with a ceiling well below the proposed 490,000 end strength. As a hedge, ASB advocates will argue that in the case of a major conflict, the federal government can mobilize the U.S. Army National Guard and Reserve. Although future events are impossible to predict with exactitude, governments do exhibit patterns of behavior, especially if too focused on the exigencies of the moment. 130 Political, economic, and social turmoil create stresses that demand solutions, and silver bullet solutions are the most enticing. What the Maginot Line promised France, ASB promises America: an economical and pristine way to secure national security interests without becoming embroiled in a protracted land conflict. However, the reality is that an air-sea-centric strategy unbalances U.S. national security policy. Adversaries constantly probe for weaknesses, testing American resolve and capabilities. A probe could be limited territorial aggression, intimidation of neighbors through military posturing, or covert (including proxy) wars. The unilateral use of air and sea power in such cases is very rarely effective. From the U.S. perspective, once committed to ASB, s