Military Review English Edition July-August 2016 | Page 25

CYBERSPACE UNDERSTANDING Third, capability developers must determine the best way to display the information. Cyber SU must provide adequate detail, but not too much. The Army can neither defend all of cyberspace, nor can it display all of it on a COP; otherwise, a commander’s thinking could become obstructed by needless clutter. Commanders only need to know what impacts their mission, which aside from leveraging some joint cyberspace effects, consists mainly of employing traditional forms of combat power. Therefore, cyber SU must also allow information to be displayed contextually in order to facilitate broader situational understanding. This can be achieved through pictures, stoplight charts, gauges, ribbons, line-and-block diagrams, and side-by-side comparisons (as exemplified in the figure). Fourth, capability developers must avoid writing system requirements that attempt to replace human judgment and decision making. Cyber SU must provide understanding; but it is up to tactical commanders and staffs to discern how to act on that understanding. Fifth, and finally, the Army must think of ways to innovate and incrementally reform a constraining acquisition process. Army cyberspace requirements documents should strive to foster innovation by describing an overarching framework, grounded in sound doctrinal concepts that can be developed over time through successive software builds.29 This is, in fact, the goal of the IT-Box. The challenge, therefore, is to identify the aspects of cyber SU that will become quickly outdated and make them modular, so they can be rapidly replaced by new innovations. In addition, Army capability developers must decide if cyber SU will be combined with other proposed or existing systems, or if it will remain pure. Combining multiple systems increases the risk that they could become bogged down for years in development. Meanwhile, the Army would be no closer to a cyber SU capability than it was in 2013 when the Army Cyberspace Operations Capabilities Based Assessment named its number one gap as commanders’ situational understanding.30 Conclusion The other teams could make trouble for us if they win.31 —Yogi Berra While several resources currently aid in providing cyber SU, the Army lacks a well-coordinated capability development effort to define and aggregate cyber SU-related requirements. Although the JCIDS process provides capability development options with shorter timelines, it still appears inadequate as evidenced by the Army’s inability to bring neither cyber SU nor any other cyber-related JCIDS document to approval.32 Whatever the case, commanders cannot continue to relinquish key operational decisions about their OE because they lack situational understanding of the domain. Cyber SU may not turn out to be a self-contained tool or system. Rather, the answer might be an aggregation of multiple situational understanding enabling capabilities. Therefore, the Army might be better off with an improvised system that gives them some cyber SU today, rather than a cure-all system that promises to deliver the world tomorrow. Many of America’s enemies have no bureaucracies and no stovep ipes that hamper their ability to employ new technologies in battle. So, while Army capability developers are defining requirements, analyzing alternatives, and running the wickets of JCIDS documentation and approval, potential adversaries will be playing “small ball” and winning the cyber contest by utilizing commercial off-the-shelf technologies. To make a comeback, the Army needs a game changing play. Because, let’s face it; “the future ain’t what it used to be.”33 Biographies Lt. Col. William Jay Martin, U.S. Air Force, retired, is a senior military analyst with Command Decision Systems & Solutions, Inc. He received a BS from the University of Delaware and an MA from Louisiana Tech University. He is a graduate of the U.S. Air Force Weapons School, Air Force Air Command and Staff College, and Joint Forces Staff College. Emily Kaemmer is a senior military analyst with Command Decision Systems & Solutions, Inc. She specializes in Army cyberspace capabilities development. MILITARY REVIEW  July-August 2016 23