Military Review English Edition January-February 2014 | Page 43

T H E A F G H A N S TAT E four years in a German prison for attempting to kill his stepson. When Ambassador Eikenberry visited Marja in the aftermath of the clearing operation, Eikenberry avoided Zahir, the man the operation had just installed as the area’s leader, and instead greeted a former police chief known locally as a corrupt pedophile. At the same time, the Major Crimes Task Force (MCTF) in Kabul investigated corruption allegations with vigor. The task force, established by Karzai after his 2009 reelection, was trained and mentored by DEA and FBI agents. As the military began working with unsavory actors as they confronted the consequences of trying to avoid them, the Major Crimes Task Force advisors pushed the unit forward, eventually arresting a top aide to Karzai. Karzai secured the release of his aide, who was held for less than a day. state-society relations. While this analysis does not offer a specific model to apply to Afghanistan, it does suggest that the Western-ideal type is not as natural as Western intellectual history and military doctrine imply. As such, answers to questions about both the scope of the state and military operations to sap support from an insurgency are not self-evidently the answers that worked in the West. …that the Western-ideal type is not as natural as Western intellectual history and military doctrine imply. Conclusion The problem in Afghanistan, many Western military and civilian officials believe, is that the Afghan government is not strong enough. Usually what these people mean is that the Afghan state has not established a monopoly over violence throughout Afghanistan, has not sufficiently penetrated society, and has insufficient control over social relations and resources. This analysis comes principally from two places. First, Western intellectual history contends that sovereign, autonomous states that deeply penetrate society to control social relations and resources are normal and good—and that deviations should be redressed on both moral and security grounds. Second, military doctrine derived from this intellectual tradition proposes state building in the model of the Western-ideal type to reduce popular support for insurgencies. Peaceful and stable Afghan states have not adopted the Western-ideal type. Ahmed Shah Durrani, Abdur Rahman, and the Musahiban Dynasty all fell woefully short of its standards. Even Rahman, who ruled Afghanistan more directly and grew the Afghan state to a greater degree than the others, did so at tremendous cost and with unprecedented amounts of violence. Amanullah and Communist attempts to emulate Western models backfired as neither was prepared for the difficulty of fundamentally transforming MILITARY REVIEW January-February 2014 For Afghanistan, this means reimagining the role of the Afghan state. Rather than expecting and trying to help the Afghan state to deliver services and make its citizens happy, the international coalition should look to the Afghan state to manage foreign relations and enforce broad limits on its periphery, such as prohibiting threats to the state or launching attacks on other countries. This framework could facilitate a negotiated settlement with the Taliban since it allows for variation in subnational governance and would be a potential prize for a Taliban affiliated political party. Such an arrangement would likely require persistent efforts, supported by the United States and others, to enforce boundaries. This approach entails its share of uncertainty as the subnational political arrangements cannot be preordained and will consistently change. It also jettisons a great deal of the human rights objectives for which many have worked. Nevertheless, a state-centric, resource-intensive approach does not offer a path to an acceptable conclusion. More broadly, the United States faces important questions of social order and state building in the Middle East and elsewhere, but is not prepared to conduct another costly, troop-intensive military campaign. MR 41