Medidas de Gestao das Pescarias Marinhas e Aquicultura 2019 The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2018 | Page 203
THE STATE OF WORLD FISHERIES AND AQUACULTURE 2018
FIGURE 51
WORLD FISHMEAL PRODUCTION, 1996–2030
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1996
1998
2000
From whole fish
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
From fish by-products
» Over 87 percent of the increase in aquaculture
fishmeal and fish oil production, in product
weight, should reach 5.3 million tonnes and 1.0
million tonnes, respectively. In 2030, fishmeal
production should be 19 percent higher than in
2016, but about 54 percent of the growth will
derive from improved use of fish waste, cuttings
and trimmings obtained from fish processing.
Fishmeal produced from fish by-products will
represent 34 percent of world fishmeal production
in 2030, compared to 30 percent in 2016 (Figure 51).
The fish model does not take into account the
effects of the use of fish by-products on the
composition and qualit y of the resulting fishmeal
and/or fish oil. Possible effects include lower
protein and increased ash (minerals) and small
amino acids (e.g. glycine, proline,
hydrox y proline) in comparison with products
obtained from whole fish. This difference in
composition may hinder increased use of
fishmeal and/or fish oil in feeds used in
aquaculture and livestock farming.
production in 2030 will originate from Asian
countries. Asia will continue to dominate world
aquaculture production, with a share of 89
percent in 2030. China will remain the world’s
leading producer, but its share in total production
will decrease from 62 percent in 2016 to 59
percent in 2030. Aquaculture production is
projected to continue to expand on all continents,
with variations in the range of species and
products across countries and regions. Major
increases are expected in particular in Latin
America (+49 percent) and in Africa (+61
percent). In Africa, the expansion is projected
partly on the basis of the additional culturing
capacit y put in place in recent years, but also
because of rising local demand from higher
economic growth and local policies promoting
aquaculture. Freshwater species, such as carp,
catfish (including Pangasius spp.) and tilapia, are
expected to represent about 62 percent of total
world aquaculture production in 2030, as
compared with 58 percent in 2016. Production of
higher-value species, such as shrimps, salmon
and trout, is also projected to continue to grow.
Prices
The sector is expected to enter a decade of higher
prices in nominal terms. Factors driving this
tendency include income, population growth and
meat prices on the demand side; and the potential
slight decline in capture fisheries production as a
About 16 percent of capture fisheries yield will be
used to produce fishmeal in 2030. The estimated
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