Medidas de Gestao das Pescarias Marinhas e Aquicultura 2019 The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2018 | Page 109

THE STATE OF WORLD FISHERIES AND AQUACULTURE 2018 BOX 5 ESTIMATING TOTAL FISH CATCHES AND THEIR MEANING FAO recognizes the potential value of catch reconstructions, especially for drawing attention to problematic statistics. Such exercises may provide additional information on fisheries’ contributions to food security and nutrition as well as discarded catches, help identify fishery subsectors that are not well covered in national data collection systems and so help countries refine their data collection methodologies and, if necessary, revise their statistics. However, the large uncertainty involved must be recognized, especially in interpreting contrasting trends derived from differing and highly debated methodological approaches (see Ye et al., 2017). FAO recommends that statistics from primary sources (i.e. countries’ and RFBs’ submissions) be clearly separated from data derived from secondary studies to avoid confusion in their interpretation by the user community. Interpreting trends in global capture fisheries production requires caution, primarily because they are the sum of thousands of combinations of species, fishing areas, fleets and countries and influenced by management measures that may or may not be in operation over time. It is well known that catches do not necessarily reflect abundance and thus stock status. It would be misleading to associate catch trends with stock sustainability without considering changes in fishing effort, including those caused by management regulations (and their implementation over time), as overfishing and efficient management systems designed to rebuild stocks can both result in a decline in catch. It is for this reason that the FAO (2016c) interpretation that global marine capture fisheries have been stable over the past 30 years (especially if the highly variable and abundant anchoveta, Engraulis ringens, is excluded) does not imply that the state of the resources is also stable (Ye et al., 2017). It is recognized that well-assessed fisheries have been moving towards sustainability in recent decades (Costello et al., 2012; Worm et al., 2009). However, over 30 percent of global stocks are overfished, a share that has been increasing over time. A change in direction is crucial to reach the targets of SDG 14. FAO maintains the only global capture production database available. The database is a collection of nominal catches, which are defined as the net weight of the quantities landed, as recorded at the time of landing, converted to their live-weight equivalents. The database is primarily based on the official statistics submitted by member countries, but these may be complemented or replaced with data from other sources (e.g. “best scientific data” from RFBs). The concepts and standards for the collection and processing of FAO fishery statistics are set by the FAO Coordinating Working Party on Fishery Statistics (CWP) (Garibaldi, 2012). FAO capture statistics were established primarily to determine the contribution of fisheries to food supply. It is recognized that the FAO capture database does not include all fish caught in the wild, as it omits the portion of the catch that is discarded at sea and catches from illegal, unreported or unregulated (IUU) fisheries, which are both inherently difficult to estimate. In this regard, FAO has commissioned several evaluations of global discards in which the total volumes differed significantly, a reflection of the methodological difficulties associated with their estimation (Kelleher, 2005). FAO also convened a workshop in 2015 aimed at updating global IUU estimates, which concluded that the lack of robust and consistent methodology and the intrinsic lack of transparency in IUU fishing result in highly uncertain estimates (FAO, 2015c). In recent years a number of studies have attempted to estimate the volume of total removals (e.g. Pauly and Zeller, 2016; Watson and Tidd, 2018), which fundamentally requires estimation of discards at sea and IUU fishing with geographical and temporal precision. These exercises conclude that the amount of fish entering food networks may be much larger than the reported statistics indicate, but diverge on the temporal trends in total removals, largely as a result of differing methodological assumptions for IUU estimation (discussed in detail in Ye et al., 2017). | 93 |