McGill Journal of Political Studies 2014 April, 2014 | Page 80

and justification of the variables used. An analysis of collected data, comparing the two case studies from pre-accession and postaccession, will determine potential responses to the stated research question. Then, the aforementioned theoretical frameworks will be evaluated for their explanatory potential in accounting for the results of this analysis. Finally, the conclusion will summarize the results of the data and conclude as to whether or not the paper’s hypothesis is supported by the available data. Literature Review This paper will divide the available data into two categories: pre-accession and postaccession. For pre-accession information on the Roma, the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) collected a large amount of data on the status of Roma inclusion in 2003, compiled in its report entitled Avoiding the Dependency Trap5. This provides a baseline for any discussion of post-accession changes in their status. For post-accession data, reports from the EC, the European Union Agency for Fundamental Rights (EU-FRA), and NGOs such as the European Roma Rights Centre (ERRC) are important sources. However, the wide variety of metrics used, small sample sizes, and the inherent problems in studying the Roma make most data not entirely reliable. Many Roma do not publicly identify themselves as such, states make few efforts to reach out, and many Roma distrust outsiders due to their history of persecution and refuse to participate in data collection. Reports also often lack methodological consistency across time, space and organization, making it difficult to measure all areas of Roma life in relation to social inclusion. The body of literature relating to the treatment of Roma in policy is also important. This can further be divided UNDP (2003) Avoiding the Dependency Trap. [report] Bratislava: United Nations Development Programme. 5 80 | McGill Journal of Political Studies 2014 into literature addressing both the Roma specifically and the Roma as part of the broader discourse on human rights and non-discrimination. This literature includes current law at the EU-level. In current legislation, like the acquis communautaire -the common body of law for the EU- the Roma are not specifically addressed; instead, they fall under standard anti-discrimination law as citizens or residents of the countries they reside in. The most important legal institution covering the Roma in terms of European law is the European Convention on Human Rights (1961). Along with the Racial Equality Directive (2000), this has been used by the Roma, with the doctrine of direct effect, to fight for equal treatment at the European level. Marc Willers and Siobhan Lloyd wrote a two-part paper discussing potential paths for Roma to use such EU legal institutions to expand their rights advocating fighting through the courts rather than through the legislative process6. This paper will also investigate the national laws relating to treatment of minorities, such as a number of National Action Plans issued at the start of the “Decade of Roma Inclusion,” plotting out countries’ official plans for addressing issues of Roma inclusion. In order to answer how and why European policy towards Roma has changed, this paper will use a few relevant theories as tools of analysis and explore the quantitative data behind the research question’s test variables. The theoretical framework of conditionality, defined as “a bargaining strategy of reinforcement by reward, under which the EU provides external incentives for a target government to comply with its conditions” will be used7. Marc Willers, and Siobhán Lloyd, “Using EU law to tackle anti-Roma discrimination – Part 1,” Legal Action (November 2011): 21-6; Marc Willers, and Siobhán Lloyd, “Using EU law to tackle anti-Roma discrimination – Part w,” Legal Action (December 2011): 33-7 7 Schimmelfennig, F. and Sedelmeier, U. (2004) Governance by conditionality: EU rule transfer to the 6 As conditionality is one of the two primary theories explaining why candidate states choose to expend political capital in order to change domestic law to match EU law, it will be an important tool of analysis. Specifically, Tobias Böhmelt’s work will be used to examine the effect of conditionality in European accession in terms of policies of Roma inclusion. Böhmelt concludes that while making accession conditional on the implementation of particular policy and legal changes gives the EU substantial leverage, conditionality’s power fades as accession occurs or appears as a foregone conclusion. This will help explain the success or failure of the EU in guaranteeing Roma social inclusion and pushing for beneficial policy8. In addition, the potential effects of the European principle of subsidiarity in the area of social policy will be used as a comparative tool. Subsidiarity is a central part of the European Union’s decision-making process and core identity. As defined in Article 5 of the Treaty on European Union: Under the principle of subsidiarity, in areas which do not fall within its exclusive competence, the Union shall act only if and insofar as the objectives of the proposed action cannot be sufficiently achieved by the Member States, either at central level or at regional and local level, but can rather, by reason of the scale or e