McGill Journal of Political Studies 2014 April, 2014 | Page 12

Manion, for instance, uses game theory to model the strategic calculation involved in committing bribery and argues that in order to completely move away from corrupt equilibria, significant institutional change is necessary4. Although some existing studies do note that high-level corruption (i.e. corruption committed by high-ranking officials) and low-level corruption (i.e. corruption committed by low-ranking officials) exist simultaneously in China5, none have actually established the distinction or explained how and why they are different. As aggregate data treats all corrupt officials and their cases the same way, existing literature tend to overlook heterogeneity and potentially important nuances within the group of corrupt officials. This paper will use original data comprising both high-ranking and low-ranking corrupt officials and examine whether the CCP does treat the two groups in a systematically different manner. Methodology Multiple linear regressions were run in R using original data collected specifically for this research project. The goal is to first examine whether there is a correlation between the interested explanatory variable, rank, and the dependent variable, duration of internal investigation, and to assess whether such correlation still exists when controlling for an increasingly larger number of other variables. Furthermore, I also performed a paired t-test in R to find out whether the two groups, high-rankings and low-rankings, are significantly different from each other Power and Democracy, Cambridge University Press, 2005; Hon S. Chan & Jie Gao, “Old Wine in New Bottle: a county-level case study of anti-corruption reform in the People’s Republic of China: Crime, Law and Social Change, 2008. 4 Melanie Manion, “Corruption by Design: Bribery in Chinese Enterprise Licensing,” The Journal of Law, Economics & Organizations, V12 N1, 1996. 5 For instance Chan & Gao (2008). However, the study focus solely on low-level corruption as it examines the efficacy of anticorruption reform at county-level. 12 | McGill Journal of Political Studies 2014 in terms of how long they were processed during the internal investigation. The rest of this section will lay out explanations of the data collection, variable and the logic behind the data analysis. Data Collection The data used in this project is original, constructed based on the principle of pairing every high-ranking corrupt official convicted between 2008 and 2013 with a low-ranking counterpart. In order to further control for heterogeneity within the low-ranking group, I chose county-level as the standard for the pairing6. The reason why countylevel corruption cases, instead of prefecturallevel ones, are chosen to represent low-level corruption is that the differences between provincial- and county-level bureaucrats are considerably larger and more noticeable in terms of distance to central power, size of informal network involved, and amount of vested interest, etc. The latest Supreme People’s Procuratorate report states that there have been 32 judicially handled (i.e. prosecution of ) high-level corruption cases between 2008 and 20137. However, the names of the 32 corrupt high-ranking officials were not revealed. Thus, the first task was to find out who they are. Through an extensive news search using the Chinese search engine, Baidu, I uncovered 30 out of the 32 highranking officials. After noting down each of their names and their last official position, I proceeded to the pairing operation. The method of pairing is twofold, depending on whether the high-ranking official held An exception was made for pairing case 18, Wang Yi, former Vice president of China Development Bank. Since no detailed information on corrupt officials from county-level banks were available, I instead found a low-ranking counterpart at the prefectural level (Zhang Ye, former president of Changsha City Commercial Bank). This is perhaps because, first, the media lacks vested interest in scrutinizing bank managers for corruption; and second, perhaps the kind of economic crime county bank managers tend to commit is something other than receiving bribes. 7 Xinhua News, October 22, 2013 6 a position that is region-specific (e.g. head of a province) or central (e.g. minister of a ministry). For every high-ranking official who held power in a specific province, I looked for a low-ranking official from the same province and from the same xitong8 who was also convicted of corruption between 2008 and 2013. Standard search keyword is “province + county-level position + corruption.” I read through the first 20 pages on Baidu to note down all usable results (i.e. within the 20082013 timeframe and with information on all variables). Among all the usable cases, I randomly select one to be included as the low-ranking case for the corresponding high-ranking official. A different approach is adopted to match a high-ranking official who held a position that is not region-specific, such as the CEO of a State-Owned Enterprise (SOE) or the head of a ministry in Beijing. I pair the non region-specific official with a low-ranking counterpart who held power at a bureau of similar function at the county-level9. The result is 30 pairs of corrupt officials, composing a sample size of 6010. After I came up with the names and positions of these 30 high-ranking officials and the 30 corresponding low-ranking officials, I recorded the information and codified the values of the six variables listed below. It is acknowledged that there is certain degree of selection bias in the process of pairing, since only those low-ranking officials with information on all variables are included in the data11. In other words, there may be Xitong means system or branch of government. The concept is used as control variable, which will be more thoroughly discussed later in the paper. 9 Note that “bureau with similar function” in this case is more general than xitong and thus may transcend the boundary of xitong. The reason why I took the liberty to interpret function of a specific bureau and to pair these non-region specific officials with others of similar function is that, information on low-level non-region specific corruption cases has proven to be extremely unavailable. 10 The data set is available upon request. 11 There are three low-ranking officials, case 39, 53 8 implicit reasons why certain low-ranking officials received full news coverage while others did not. However, certain controls (especially of locality and xitong) and academic rigor persist throughout the data collection process. Furthermore, considering this is the first attempt to disaggregate national statistics and scrutinize who these corrupt officials are, I am confident that the imperfect data can nevertheless shed light on the question of how these cases are handled by the Party. Dependent Variables: Duration of Internal Investigation (t) The duration, t, is used to measure how the CCP handles suspected corrupt officials, because it captures observable characteristics of how the Party deals with high-level corruption vis-à-vis low-level corruption. t denotes the length of time that an official is under the internal investigation by the Disciplinary Inspection Commissions (DICs), which better reflects the interest of the Communist regime than the other anticorruption institution, the Procuratorate, because the DIC is strictly controlled by the Party whereas the Procuratorate is technically an independent judicial body. The process of investigation is considered to have begun when the central or regional DIC announces the suspension of an official for investigation purposes and is considered completed when the DIC announces how the official is to be administratively handled (e.g. removed from the Party and the former government position) and that the official has been transferred to the judicial institution for upcoming judicial investigation. t is measured in months. and 54, whose information on age is not available. These cases were nevertheless included in the data, for there is simply no other usable data. Considering age as a variable is only incorporated in model 5 during the multiple linear regression test, the omission of information does not greatly impact on the validity of the test results. Anticorruption Practices by the Chinese Communist Party | Pan | 13