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Who would have thought in May 2020 that sports fans would be craving some, no, any live sports action? Who would have thought that football - the world’s biggest sport would be confined to players playing in empty lifeless stadia? Who would have thought that pay TV companies be cutting their subscription rates by up to 35%? The last 3 months has seen unparalleled moments and developments across all spectrums of not just our lives, but the sports world as well. Essayist, scholar and mathematical statistician Nassim N. Taleb - in his book titled The Black Swan published in 2010, notes “black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our personal lives”. This sure feels like a black swan to many in the world currently. Though he opines this wasn’t entirely unforeseen and unpredictable, this is a first for many. It is unprecedented to imagine a world with little or no sporting action taking place. Current State Walking through the streets of Nairobi for the last two months either early morning or early evening, one would be mistaken to think there is a marathon or road race coming soon. The number of runners, fitness enthusiasts and brisk walkers has risen, thanks to time to spare or the need to get out of the current quarantine conditions. Will these be temporary trends or will this breed a new fitness craze in this part of the world? Elsewhere in the world, with the most sports suspended till further notice, sports bodies are looking at how they can kickstart their respective leagues and races. Germany’s Bundesliga took the bold step of resuming the 2019-20 season on the 16th-17th of May. This was after the German government gave the greenlight for partial reopening of the country. The first European football league to resume since the pandemic, was played under strict health and safety protocols. These included banning fans, social (or should it be physical?) distancing for players on the pitch and off of it, muted celebrations, and restricted movement for journalists covering the games. While it was a huge sigh of relief for the football and media world, the conversation will be held on how long such procedures will be practiced. Germany for example has restricted public gatherings till August, hence no fans expected in the games anytime soon. Still on the protocols, health practices such as reduced or no physical contact before kick-off will seem impractical when the players get the game started - for every tackle or pass of the ball. Football missing the 12th man in the stadium will be a factor on how the next few weeks will be impacted especially for the live television coverage. Some European leagues such as the French Ligue 1, Belgian Pro League and Dutch Eredivisie have already cancelled the remainder of the season and declared winners of their shortened leagues. Parts of Europe such as England, Italy and Spain which still have high incidences SPORTS MARKETING Sports’ World Living Beyond The Pandemic: New Normal As It Prepares For Kickstart… By Richard Wanjohi of deaths and spread of the pandemic, will wait a little longer. Earlier in May, there was concern by some media rights holders demanding part of their monies back from major clubs. This may not be happening anytime soon. It will also affect the incomes of major European clubs both for the national and continental tournaments. Digital Content, VR and Wearing it Well Media – both traditional and modern have also been largely affected by this suspended state of affairs. Live TV action and productions both pre and post-games have been out of a job for the last 10-12 weeks depending on which country you’re reporting from. With the resumption of some of the leagues in parts of Asia and Europe, health protocols have meant cutting down on the media personnel involved by almost 30%. It may be an indication of what live sports will look like going forward. Decentralized sports production systems have been set up for some of the sports disciplines. Motor sports and tennis have been piloting this to ensure the safety of their production staff, capture hard-to-get angles as well as offer fans exciting shots. ESPN - one of sports media powerhouses in partnership with Netflix had perfect timing with the screening of The Last Dance - a docuseries featuring basketball’s biggest talent Michael Jordan. According to Nielsen TV ratings in the US, there were a record 6.1 million viewers tuned in to the premiere episode. Originally scheduled for June 2020, the ESPN programming has had to make amends to accommodate the changes in viewership due to cancelled live sports action. Netflix which has been partnering with major sports such as Formula 1 to produce documentary series has been a major beneficiary in these times. In the first quarter of 2020 alone, it has recorded 15.9 million subscriptions globally. This reflects what sports properties - from associations and teams ought to be looking to develop. Archival and postgame content for both traditional and digital platforms. Sports associations such the world’s governing body for football - FIFA have a rich trove of content developed for its many tournaments - past and present. These include the World Cup, Under-17, Under-19 and Women’s World Cup. The Olympics body - the IOC - reeling from the postponed Olympics Games to 2021 has been whipping the appetite of the sports fans with archival content as well as short clips of athletes practicing and preparing for the Games. Sports brands which took a hit from closure of retail stores have taken to the digital platforms to find ways of keeping their fans engaged. The platforms have also become the touch-points for review and purchase of upcoming and popular brands. Nike one of the biggest shoe brands in the sports apparel market, will once again look to exploit the Michael Jordan - Air Jordan brand. In 2019, the Jordan brand generated over $ 3 billion in revenues on the back of its 30th anniversary. Still riding on the documentary, The Last Dance, the marketing honchos at Nike are likely to exploit and ride the wave once retail stores can operate around the world. Japanese shoe manufacturer, Asics which was looking to launch its latest shoe brand for running shoes during the Olympics had to get creative. With the postponement of the Games, where it was expecting to launch the shoe brand, they resorted to the Asics Virtual Innovation Lab, purchased Oculus headsets and sent these to sports editors and reporters across the world. Through Virtual Reality (VR), they were able to show the capabilities of their intended shoe brands. The running shoes segment have become a huge market for most shoe brands in the last couple of years. Nike has been ahead with its various prominent athletes up to and including marathon record holder Eliud Kipchoge. Asics was hoping to upstage them in their own backyard, but alas Corona happened. With VR, perhaps they will achieve a little bit more of that edge. e-Sports Keeping things tech and having noted the emergence and mainstreaming of e-sports, the current crisis has further buttressed the place for e-sports. Some major European leagues in football have been using their virtual presence to keep their fans engaged. They have engaged key players to engage in virtual games (matches if you say) and leveraged screening this online. Competitive matches and tournaments are organized against cities, countries and even global ones. This has been a multisport discipline including not just football but basketball, motorsport, mixed martial arts to name but a few. Virtual NASCAR was screened for motorsport enthusiasts in the US. Formula 1 which has not had any Grand Prix this season resorted to the Virtual GP in March and April to keep their audiences tuned in. Future of Sports? What does the pandemic portend for the future of sports? First estimates indicate a loss of up to US $ 17.2 billion according to Forbes. This will impact revenues across all major sports for the next 12- 18 months. Next is the health and social protocols associated with sports. As we saw in the German Bundesliga re-launch; from substitutes sitting in spaced out areas wearing masks to pre and post-match interviews conducted two meters apart with microphones covered with plastic disposal sheet; these are different times we’re living in. Will this continue? Only time will tell. After a period of golden years, media rights holders in major sports franchises will have to relook at their pricing and bidding processes. This will be adjusted in the next 2 seasons as leagues, media houses and sports people review their budgets and sustainability. Cross-collaboration will become a necessity for both sports owners and media houses. As noted above in the case of ESPN and Netflix pushing the basketball documentary, innovative and engaging content will keep audiences enthralled for the short to medium term. This can also be a consideration for the off-season period. Player transfers - will the 2020-21 season see the market corrected? We have seen Formula 1 teams already regrouping their lead drivers as they prepare to attack the new season. For the footballing world, it remains to be seen if the astronomical figures we have seen in the last 2-3 season will be sustained. Fan engagement - what will mark a true return of the capacity stadia and sports venues and what will imply for their owners to ensure safety and health protocols are followed? The 12th man, the noisy wall, the distracting crowd side-court and the passioned fans across the world, it will be new territory for the foreseeable future as temperature checks, isolation zones and sanitization practices remain with us. Fitness enthusiasts - this may be a passing fad but it can also be an emergence of a movement. The last few months has seen previously passive citizenry engage in walking and running in their droves. Whether it is to ward off boredom or keep the virus out of bay, it has been a breath of fresh air from the reckless indulgences and unhealthy lifestyle for most urban dwellers. Sporting brands need to relook at the opportunities to run with and appeal to the hearts of these enthusiasts be it for the mid to longer term. Pundits agree the pandemic will remain with us for the foreseeable future. We will have to learn to live with it as the researchers work on a vaccine or remedy for it. The world economies are currently headed into a recession and a battered citizenry to boot. The sports economy stands stunted but it remains one of the best bets for re-emergence into a novel world order. See you on that side! Richard Wanjohi is a marketing enthusiast with interest in research and sports. You can commune with him on this or related matters via mail at: [email protected] or check his tweets @rwanjohi. 92 MAL36/20 ISSUE