MAL 35:20 MAL35 | Page 46

INNOVATION Should Companies Innovate During Recession? By Senorine Wasike A recession, defined as two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, can be caused by economic shocks, financial panics, rapid changes in economic expectations, or some combination of the three. During a recession, most businesses experience low revenue or demand for products and increased uncertainty about the future. As I write this article, all global economies are facing one of the worst pandemics since 1918. The Corona Virus (Covid-19) has so far affected over 1,300,000 people, claimed over 70,000 lives, and has since been declared a global pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO). These statistics continue to spiral by the day, forcing governments across the globe to shut down economic activities. Majority of countries have asked their citizens to maintain social distancing and practice hygiene in a bid to flatten the curve. Impact On Economies It is not business as usual as many companies shut down operations partly or in full in a bid to control the spread of the virus. Most have asked their staff to work from home and maintained skeleton staff for critical functions. Travel restrictions and quarantines are causing a severe shortage of workers. The reduced movement of people and goods is expected to negatively impact company profits and cash flow. Consumer confidence is dropping as people spend less and save more because the future is uncertain. Stock prices are falling, and firms are already issuing profit warnings. The global economy stands to lose more than $1 trillion as a result of the Cocid-19 pandemic. It's Not All Gloomy In a Harvard Business Review article titled, 'Roaring Out of Recession' 9% of companies come out of recession stronger than ever and outperformed industry rivals by at least 10% in both sales and profits growth. It has been well-documented that main- taining marketing and innovation spend- ing during recessions creates a significant bounce effect once the market stabiliz- es, so if you gain market share now, your growth will be exponentially larger when the market recovers. DON'T STOP! 44 MAL35/20 ISSUE Most companies are cutting down costs to reduce debt levels; however, to survive the aftermath, there is a need for firms to develop contingency plans and alternative scenarios. Scenario planning can help organizations identify a specific set of uncertainties, different 'realities' of what might happen in the future of your business. Switching to survival mode may get a company out of recession, but recovering from the recession may be much slower or may never happen. What can companies do to ensure a stronger comeback post the economic slowdown? Prioritize Innovation This is not the time to stop innovating, but a time to review your innovation pipeline and identify projects that can help the business cope. Striking a balance between reducing debt and investing aggressively in the future during tough economic times is critical. Curtailing innovation efforts may deny the company long-term competitive advantage; therefore, companies should avoid the temptation to do so. Innovation budgets should be spent thoughtfully. Here are some of the ways: Exploring New Business Models The Covid-19 pandemic has significantly reduced the movement of people and goods because of measures taken by different governments to reduce the spread of the virus. With people confined