LUSD Facilities Master Plan | Page 73
Section Five
D e m o g r a p h i c s
Livingston Union School District | Facilities Master Plan
&
C a p a c i t y
Step Two: Birth Rates and Migration Factors
Migration Projection
Taking into account student progression, local births, birth capture rates and migration rates, Table 5 and Figure 10 identify
ten year projections.
TABLE 5: PROJEC TED ENROLLMENT - MIGRATION AND BIRTH RATES
FIGURE 10: PROJEC TED ENROLLMENT – MIGRATION AND BIRTH RATES
Projected Enrollment - No Housing Ad
Grade
Actual
2015/16
K
340
322
344
344
344
344
344
344
344
344
344
1
258
280
264
282
282
282
282
282
282
282
282
2
244
260
282
266
284
284
284
284
284
284
284
3
290
232
248
270
254
272
272
272
272
272
272
4
285
290
232
248
270
254
272
272
272
272
272
5
258
284
289
231
247
269
253
271
271
271
271
6
285
258
284
289
231
247
269
253
271
271
271
7
293
289
262
288
293
235
251
273
257
275
275
8
305
296
292
265
291
296
238
254
276
260
278
Total K - 5
1,675
1,668
1,659
1,641
1,681
1,705
1,707
1,725
1,725
1,725
1,725
Total 6 - 8
883
843
838
842
815
778
758
780
804
806
824
Total K - 8
2,558
2,511
2,497
2,483
2,496
2,483
2,465
2,505
2,529
2,531
2,549
2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26
71