Lubezine Volume 14 Sep. 2015 | Page 13

EAST AFRICA FEATURE East Africa: overview of lubricants industry and growth potential By Nyakundi H Nyagaka E ast African lubricants market is set to grow in the coming years, buoyed by a vibrant economy that has been registering impressive growth over the past decade. This is according to a presentation made at the 1st Argus Africa Base Oils and Lubricants Conference by Mr Ohana, who is the Managing Director of Kenya-based oil marketer KenolKobil. The region comprises of Kenya Uganda Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi and South Sudan. With a combined population of 153.3 million people over a land area of 1.82 million square kilometres, the agricultural sector in the region contributes over 20 percent of the regions GDP added Mr. Ohana. ‘The average unweighted economic growth for the region for the last decade has been an impressive 6.4 percent,’ observed Mr. David Ohana, noting that the manufacturing and service sectors have been growing steadily over the last decade. ‘G o i n g f o r w a r d , i n f r a s t r u c t u r a l developments, service industry, mining, oil exploration and mechanized agriculture will act as catalysts for development. The East African Community common tariff and free movement will also enhance growth through the trade benefits of economies of scale,’ he said. Currently, the East African region consumes over 100,000M3 of oil per annum, out of which 80 percent is blended within the region while 20 percent is imported. All the blending plants operating in the region, says the overview by KenolKobil, utilize group I base oils, with group II base oils expected to gain interest as the price difference between group I and II base oils keeps on reducing globally. According to Mr. Ohana, there is no single base oil refinery in the region, forcing the blending plants in the region to depend on base oil imports from major refineries in Europe and Middle East. These are supplied via co –chartered vessels by various LOBPS. Some base oils are imported in flexi tanks especially by smaller Plants. Further, he said there is no additive production facility in the region as most additives are sourced from major world producers like Lubrizol, Infineum, Afton and Chevron Oronite. Only Kenya and Tanzania have blending plants with Kenya’s installed annual capacity being 110,000M3 with a utilization of 40 percent while that of Tanzania is 114,000M3 with a utilisation of 50% added Mr. Ohana. “95 % of the grease used in the region is Table showing overrall lubricants volume for four years in East Africa 2011 2012 2013 2014 KENYA (M3) 43,947 40,138 46,668 42,312 UGANDA (M3) 10,202 10,127 11,030 *11,800 TANZANIA (M3) 26,614 27,448 29,939 *32,040 RWANDA (M3) 1,020 1,104 1,140 1,200 Source: PIEA/PIPECOR, LNG EMEA, OMC RWANDA, EWURA data, Assimper NOTE: Tanzania data for 2012 & 2013 is based on locally blended volumes *Data estimated Septmber 2015 • | Lubezine Magazine imported from the middle east with only small portion being blended locally in Tanzania at the regions only grease blending plant owned by fuchs petrolube “said Mr Ohana. Like any other region in the world, the East African community is also beset with some challenges that are likely to impact negatively on the growth of the region’s economy. Some of these as identified in KenolKobil’s presentation include political instability in countries such as Burundi and South Sudan, inability of governments to stamp out substandard imports, risk of environmental degradation through unsafe used oil disposal, corruption and import tax evasion resulting in unequal playing grounds, and the withholding of donor funding in Rwanda, Burundi and Ugand