LatAm 2015 | Page 10

DirecTV LatAm subs to outperform US F or the first time in the company’s history, the DirecTV Group will end this year with more pay-TV subscribers in Latin America than in its native US market, according to findings from business intelligence firm Dataxis. As of Q3 2014, 51.7% of the 39.1 million global customers that the DTH operator had were US residents, while the remaining 48.3% were distributed across Latin America and the Caribbean (including in Mexico and Central America, where DirecTV owns 41% of pay-TV company Sky Mexico). The US division has historically been losing market share within the group since DirecTV began to expand its operations in Latin America in the mid-1990s. With still plenty of room for growth in the region – unlike the saturated US pay-TV market – Dataxis predicts that 2015 will signal the year when Latin American subscribers will finally outnumber US customers. This trend will continue in following years. By 2018 Dataxis expects LatAm to account for nearly 56% of the group’s subscriber base. These figures do not take into account the number of US IPTV subscribers of AT&T, the telecoms group that is currently waiting for regulatory approval to acquire DirecTV’s global operations. Depending on whether Sky Mexico’s subscribers are counted or not as part of the group (the majority stakeholder in that company is Grupo Televisa), DirecTV is currently either the largest or the secondlargest pay-TV operator in Latin America behind America Movil. Including Sky Mexico’s subscribers, DirecTV has grown its market share from 17.4% of total pay-TV subscribers in Latin America and the Caribbean in 2007 to 28.5% in Q3 2014. “After an initial period characterized by the positioning of the DirecTV brand as an exclusive product targeted at the higherearning portions of the pay-TV market, the company was then very successful in attracting new customers through the launch of prepaid DTH services and low-cost video packages,” said Juan Pablo Conti, senior analyst at Dataxis and author of the new DirecTV Latin America report, part of the Pay-TV Operators Series 2015. Across Latin America, DirecTV had over 40% of its entire customer base subscribing to prepaid services as of Q3 2014, according to Dataxis. 10 LATAM Briefing Digital TV homes to double in LatAm Despite slowing economic growth, the number of digital TV households in Latin America will double by 2020. A report by Digital TV Research estimates 152 million digital TV households by 2020. Digital TV will climb from only 17.9% penetration of TV households at end2010 to just over the halfway mark by end-2014 and onto 93.6% by 2020. From the 19 countries covered in the forecasts, Brazil will add 28m digital TV households during this time frame, with Mexico contributing an extra 11m and Argentina nearly 5m more. Puerto Rico was the first country to reach complete conversion to digital – in 2014. Panama and Uruguay will be the only other countries to reach complete digital conversion by 2020. Primary FTA DTT will overtake pay satellite TV is the leading digital platform in 2016. The number of primary DTT homes will rocket from 4.2m at end-2010 to 68.0m by 2020 (giving 41.9% penetration). Nearly 10m pay satellite TV households will be added between 2014 and 2020, taking penetration to a quarter of TV households by 2020. However, much of its fast growth has already taken place. About 18.2m digital cable subscribers to be added between 2014 and 2020; taking penetration to a fifth of TV households. Conversely, the number of analogue cable subscribers will plummet from 18.0m to 4.3m. IPTV will climb from 1.3m subscribers in 2014 to 6.8m by 2020. 

Brazil ($8.6 billion in 2020) will remain the top country by pay TV revenues by some distance, followed by Mexico ($5.6 billion) and Argentina ($2.3 billion) – collectively taking 71% of the total. Pay-TV revenues in Latin America will grow by $2.6 billion between 2014 and 2020. Satellite TV will continue to be the largest pay TV platform, with revenues reaching $16.7 billion in 2020. Cable TV will bring in a further $5.9 billion. Digital cable TV revenues will overtake analogue cable in 2014 and I