Labour Party Members | Page 4

Sample Size: 1031 Labour Party Members
Fieldwork: 9th - 11th May 2016
Age

Region

Non-members

Rest of Midlands /
Members who Supporters who
Total 18-24 25-49 50-64 65+ London
North Scotland
South
Wales
have left
haven't joined
Weighted Sample 1043 115 402 318 208
218
260
217
285
58
75
193
Unweighted Sample 1031 73 368 346 244
181
286
202
300
59
74
206
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
19-23 9-11
Nov
May
2015 2016
How likely or unlikely do you think it is that Jeremy Corbyn
will ever become Prime Minister?
Very likely
13
16
14
14
17
18
12
17
19
15
12
3
13
Fairly likely
27
31
31
31
32
31
33
31
28
33
34
11
32
40
47
45
45
49
49
45
48
47
48
46
14
45
TOTAL LIKELY
Fairly unlikely
28
28
35
27
28
28
26
30
30
29
22
19
25
Very unlikely
22
18
13
20
16
17
22
15
15
17
27
67
22
50
46
48
47
44
45
48
45
45
46
49
86
47
TOTAL UNLIKELY
Don't know
10
7
8
7
7
6
7
8
8
5
6
0
8

If Jeremy Corbyn remains leader of the Labour party, how
likely or unlikely do you think it is that they will win the next
general election?
Very likely
Fairly likely
TOTAL LIKELY
Fairly unlikely
Very unlikely
TOTAL UNLIKELY
Don't know
If Jeremy Corbyn was replaced as leader of the Labour
party, how likely or unlikely do you think it is that they
would win the next general election?
Very likely
Fairly likely
TOTAL LIKELY
Fairly unlikely
Very unlikely
TOTAL UNLIKELY
Don't know

4

11-15
Feb

9-11
May
2016

22
27
49
23
17
40
11

19
34
53
24
15
39
7

16
36
52
33
12
45
3

17
34
51
24
17
41
7

23
31
54
24
13
37
8

20
36
56
20
16
36
7

15
35
50
27
17
44
7

21
34
55
25
12
37
8

23
29
52
24
14
38
9

19
36
55
23
15
38
6

12
36
48
22
24
46
5

5
9
14
24
60
84
2

19
33
52
22
17
39
10

9
33
42
27
14
41
17

8
24
32
30
12
42
26

6
31
37
31
16
47
16

10
39
49
24
12
36
15

13
35
48
23
13
36
17

10
32
42
29
13
42
16

7
34
41
24
15
39
20

9
35
44
26
15
41
15

9
34
43
28
12
40
16

10
30
40
31
16
47
13

9
59
68
16
4
20
12

6
28
34
32
17
49
17

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