Dynamics of Intergovernmental Networks
5.2 . Resilience Assessment
While there are numerous sources of potential external and internal shocks to test the resiliency in the intergovernmental policy implementation network , we single out two potential sources of potential shocks : ( i ) increased extreme events leading to the societal demand for funding higher number of projects and ( ii ) funding sequestration shocks leading to a decreased rate of projects funded each year . Here , we demonstrate the ability of this ABM to quantify the effects of these two shocks in the system . Figure 7a and b shows
simulation output for a scenario where we increase the number of new projects to be added each year from 60 to 120 , while the remaining parameters are same as reported for the baseline scenario . There are two counterintuitive findings with this scenario : first , despite the success rate of the projects being kept at 15 %, the resource allocation levels almost double from $ 50 million steady state ( Figure 6a ) to $ 100 million ( Figure 7a ). Second , the variability in the success rate of projects decreases under the scenario shown in Figure 7a compared with 6b .
Figure 7a . Simulated allocation of roadway project funding across RPCs under increased number of new projects needing funding every year .
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