Policy and Complex Systems
Figure 7 . Protesters ratios under the scenarios with censorship and without censorship with the same cops ’ violence levels .
Outcome Two
Figure 7 displays the scenario for low
censorship levels on social media and a corresponding high level of cop violence . In this scenario , the protester ratio among civilians decreased with an increase in cop violence . However , this ratio is higher than the one for protests after an increase in censorship .
Conclusion and Future Work
This study has two goals . The first
is to discuss current studies about civil revolutions represented in the literature , which is vast and growing . It helps us to investigate other studies and to understand the ways for modeling social media ’ s effect on civil revolutions with the ABM approach . The second goal is to introduce our preliminary model for protests with social media ’ s effect presented at the micro-level with ABM and at macro level with System Dynamics view conceptually .
Epstein ’ s model continues to play a significant role in civil revolution modeling . As a base model , we want to apply his ideas for protesters grievance levels , risk thresholds , and government legitimacies , however ; the tendency towards using social media is included . Other variations of Epstein ’ s model are helpful in improving the literature and investigating the missing aspects of rebellion models . These aspects are changing over time because of the unpredictable and complex nature of humans and the continual rise of technological improvements .
In our model , there is a relationship between social media and agent interactions . We assign agent ’ s grievance levels randomly , however ; internal dynamics should affect these levels , and we will add this effect in our model . Additionally , the enlargement of agent ’ s visions occurs due to the effect of social media .
We will also build our model with the SD approach to see the micro-level dynamics effect on the overall dynamics and
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