Policy and Complex Systems
Table 1 . Probabilities in different scenarios ( Moro , 2016 )
Figure 2 illustrates outcomes of three scenarios . In the successful revolution ( p = 0.4 , r = 0.3 ), after time step 40 , the number of As is higher than the number of Js , and there is an exponential decrease in the Js . For the police officers and revolutionary citizens ’ dynamics , initially the number of P is higher than the number of Rs . However , after approximately time step 40 , the number of P decreases exponentially . On the contrary , in the failed revolution scenario ( p = 0.9 , r = 0.1 ), the number of Js is higher than the As . Eventually , the As become zero . P kills most of the Rs where there are not many As . Interestingly , Moro ( 2016 ) found that the civil revolution dynamics in the case of anarchy show complex behavior . As and Js create a different pattern compared with the failed revolution scenario .
Figure 2 . Time series for ABM scenarios .
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