Journal of Rehabilitation Medicine: Special Issue 50-4bokBW | Page 9

311 Rehabilitation: the health strategy of the 21 st century IMPACT OF THESE TRENDS ON FUNCTIONING AND DISABILITY The impact of the combination of population ageing and the shift in prevalence to non-com- municable health problems will be that a higher proportion of the world’s population will be living with one or more limitations in functioning, and so will be likely to experience disability. Limi- tations in functioning associated with chronic NCDs and ageing include long-term sensory, cog- nitive, mobility and other impairments as well as restrictions in activities, simple or complex. The burden of disease for NCDs in the older popula- tion is strongly determined by disability, rather than premature death. In short, although people worldwide are living longer, generally speaking, they are also living with more disability (13). It is true that in high-income countries there is some evidence of a trend towards a reduction in the time lived with disability. An analysis carried out by the World Health Organization (WHO) in 2014 of large longitudinal studies conducted in high-income countries suggested that the preva- lence of disability of such a level of severity as to require assistance from another person to carry out basic activities, such as eating and washing, may be declining slightly (3). However, that study also showed that there has been no significant change in less severe disability over the past 30 years, and that the evidence we have from low- and medium-income countries, although of lower quality, suggests the opposite trend; that is, an increase in the level of disability with age, linked to an increase in the number of underlying health conditions (multimorbidity). It is important to bear in mind that, quite independently of the diseases and injuries we ex- perience as we age, at the biological level, ageing is simply the gradual process of molecular and cellular deterioration that inevitably results in pro- gressive impairments across all body functions, accompanied by a broad range of psychosocial changes. Muscle mass declines with age, articular cartilage loses strength and flexibility, and vision, hearing, and cognitive functions, including me- mory, tend to decline with age. In other words, according to the WHO’s Inter- national Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health (ICF) (14), ageing is the inevitable process of capacity decline, a process which, depending on a person’s access to environmental Switzerland Denmark Netherlands Sweden Czech Republic Italy France Austria Slovenia Germany Spain Estonia Belgium China Hungary Portugal Poland Mexico Russian Federation South Africa Ghana India lack of exercise, which will further increase the prevalence of chronic health problems (8). 0 10 SHARE SAGE 20 30 40 50 60 Percentage 65–74 years 65–74 years 70 80 90 ≥75 years ≥75 years Note: The five basic ADL items included i n the analysis were eating, bathing, dressing, getting in and out of bed, and using the toilet. Fig. 2. Percentage of population aged 65–74, and 75 years or older, with a limitation in 1 or more of 5 basic activities of daily living (ADL), by country. World Health Organization. World Report on Ageing and Health. Geneva: WHO; 2015. http://apps.who.int/ iris/bitstream/10665/186463/1/9789240694811_eng. pdf?ua=1. SAGE: Study on global AGEing and adult health; SHARE: Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe. facilitators or the presence of barriers, may also result in a permanent decrement or progressive decline in the performance of activities, simple or complex. In short, ageing is the process of declining health, usually linked to an increase in the experience of disability or the likelihood of experiencing disability (Fig. 2) (1). Another significant feature of the ageing process is the phenomenon of multimorbidity. The issue here is not so much that of people developing several serious diseases or injuries at once, alt- hough that is not uncommon. It is rather the more subtle phenomenon of accumulating several dif- ferent chronic conditions at the same time, each of which might be of low or moderate severity, but together will produce a more severe level of decline in capacity (15). Disease combinations may worsen the impact on capacity associated with each disease on its own, and overall the impact of multimorbidity in older age may be far greater than the sum of the individual impacts expected from each health problem alone. Multimorbidity com- plicates treatment planning and has well-known J Rehabil Med 50, 2018