Journal of Rehabilitation Medicine 51-10 | Page 62

782 A. Jablochkova et al. by principal components analysis (PCA), which is an unsu- pervised statistical tool for data analysis and dimensionality reduction, which helps evaluating the quality and homogeneity of the dataset and identifies strong outliers using Hotelling’s T 2 , a multivariate equivalent of the 95% confidence interval (95% CI). Secondly, OPLS-DA was used to confirm group compari- son of the NGF, BDNF, and cytokine levels, and to investigate the multivariate inter-correlations of NGF and BDNF with cytokines and clinical variables. The statistical significance of the regression was controlled using the p-value of the cross-va- lidated analysis of variance (CV-ANOVA), which is diagnostic tool for assessing model reliability. The p(corr) value was used to investigate the importance of each variable in our MVDA models. |p(corr)| ≥ 0.5 was considered significant. Quality of the MVDA was controlled using R 2 and Q 2 . The R 2 value shows how well the model explains the dataset. Cross-validated Q 2 is a measure of the predictive power of the model; in other words, it measures how well the model can predict a new dataset. In a high-quality model, Q 2 and R 2 values are close to each other. RESULTS Baseline characteristics Table I shows the background data of both groups. BMI was significantly higher in patients with FM. There Table I. Background data of women with fibromyalgia (FM) and healthy female controls (HC) Variables Age, years BMI, kg/m 2 Systolic BP, mmHg Diastolic BP, mmHg FM duration, years a FM n  = 75 Mean (SD) 50.8 (9.6) 27.4 (4.7) 125.1 (27.8) 78.9 (16.1) HC n  =  25 Mean (SD) 47.6 (12.8) 25.1 (4.8) 129.7 (14.7) 82.9 (7.8) p-value (p  < 0.05) ns 0.041 ns ns Tender points, n a 9.6 (6.5) 15.8 (1.8) 0 0 < 0.001 < 0.001 VAS global pain (0–100) # 53.1(20.6) 0.2 (0.9) < 0.001 350.3 (131.7) 318.5 (102.5) 307.1 (131.8) 314.4 (123.9) 396.8 (167.9) 420.8 (139.9) 378.5 (176.1) 384.1 (189.2) 1.6 (1.9) 2.7 (2.7) < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 PPT (kPa) a,b Supraspinatus, right Supraspinatus, left Vastus lateralis, right Vastus lateralis, left Gluteus, right Gluteus, left Knee, right Knee, left HADS-depression (0–21) HADS-anxiety (0–21) PCS (0–52) a 189.7 (105.4) 197.8 (117.2) 153.8 (86.0) 150.6 (89.5) 190.7 (93.5) 194.6 (0.94.0) 182.2 (121.5) 183.2 (104.7) 7.5 (3.7) 8.9 (4.4) SF36-PSC (0–100) b SF36-MSC (0–100) b FIQ (0–100) MFI (0–20) b General fatigue Physical fatigue Reduced activity Reduced motivation Mental fatigue 4.6 (8.6) < 0.001 29.5 (8.1) 48.2 (18.8) < 0.001 36.9 (11.5) 63.7 (14.7) 44.0 (18.1) 5.2 (6.3) 0.011 < 0.001 21.1 (11.3) 18.2 16.7 15.5 10.8 15.4 (2.2) (2.7) (3.4) (3.8) (3.7) 8.2 7.5 6.7 5.5 7.1 (3.2) (3.2) (2.9) (2.4) (2.9) < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 a FM n  = 72. b HC n  = 24. BMI: body mass index; BP: blood pressure; VAS: visual analogue scale; PPT: pressure pain threshold; HADS: Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scales; PCS: Pain Catastrophizing Scale; SF36-PSC: Short Form Health Survey 36 (SF36) Physical Summary Component; SF36-MCS: Short Form Health Survey 36 (SF36) Mental Summary Component; FIQ: Fibromyalgia Impact Questionnaire; MFI: Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory. The significance of group differences is presented in the right column as a p-value. NA: not applicable. www.medicaljournals.se/jrm were no significant differences in age and blood pres- sures between FM and HC. FM and HC differed in the psychometric variables: patients with FM reported sig- nificantly worse health in all psychometric variables. Baseline levels of nerve growth factor and brain- derived neurotrophic factor At baseline, there were significant differences in plasma levels of NFG and BDNF between FM and HC (Table II); FM had lower levels of circulating NGF than HC (p < 0.001), whereas the levels of circulating BDNF were higher in FM than in HC (p = 0.001). Baseline levels of cytokines and chemokines There were significant differences in IL-1β (p = 0.008) and IL-8 (p = 0.023) concentrations between FM and HC. FM had significantly higher IL-8, while IL-1β was significantly lower (Table II). Group differences at baseline in a multivariate context To evaluate the importance of the bivariate statistical comparisons, including their relative importance, we performed an OPLS-DA of group membership (FM or HC) using NGF, BDNF, and the 13 cytokines and che- mokines as regressors (i.e. x-variables reported in Table II). BDNF (p(corr) = –0.81) and NGF (p(corr) = 0.51) turned out to be the most important variables of this model representing the difference between FM and HC (R 2  = 0.38, Q 2  = 0.24, CV-ANOVA: p < 0.001). All the cytokines had |p(corr)|< 0.5 and were thus not of significant importance in the multivariate context for differentiating between FM and HC. Table II. Nerve growth factor (NGF), brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF), cytokine, and chemokine levels at baseline from women with fibromyalgia (FM) and healthy female controls (HC) Substance, pg/ml FM n=75 Median (IQR) HC n=25 Median (IQR) p-value NGF BDNF 0.28 (0.33) 0.69 (0.65) 1,553.30 (2323.80) 671.6 (2250.2) ≤ 0.001 0.001 IFN- ɣ IL-1β IL-2 IL-4 IL-6 IL-8 IL-10 IL-17A TNF-α IL-1ra IP-10 MCP-1 Eotaxin 10.01 (12.53) 0.07 (1.62) 2.9 (4.01) 0.56 (8.63) 1.83 (2.53) 1.37 (1.96) 9.24 (10.2) 10.10 (11.82) 4.31 (2.41) 35.6 (121.22) 398.53 (252.26) 309.27 (126.43) 107.6 (49.10) 8.45 (9.09) 1.23 (1.81) 2.25 (3.17) 0.56 (5.97) 1.68 (1.55) 0.77 (1.51) 8.7 (4.78) 9.7 (8.77) 3.64 (1.46) 35.83 (74.01) 395.36 (228.40) 336.1 (138.54) 106.89 (49.90) IQR: interquartile range. Significant values are shown in bold. 0.405 0.008 0.602 0.805 0.222 0.023 0.867 0.173 0.335 0.981 0.424 0.292 0.186