Journal of Rehabilitation Medicine 51-10 | Page 43

Pain catastrophizing and dropout in chronic pain management Baseline assessment measures Sociodemographic data. To describe the research sample in this study the following sociodemographic factors were collected at baseline: age, sex (male, female), ethnicity (Dutch, non-Dutch), marital status (single, living together), educational level: low (level 0–2 early: primary education, lower secondary education); intermediate (level 3–5: upper secondary, post-secondary, short cycle tertiary), and high (level 6–8: bachelor, master, doctoral))); work status (employed, unemployed, retired, school/study); and ability to work (perceived ability to work 0–10 NRS) (16). Pain intensity and pain duration. Other important pain-related factors that were used to describe the research sample were pain intensity (using a 0–10 numeric rating scale (NRS)) and pain duration (pain duration 0–2 years, between 2–5 years, more than 5 years). These were derived from the intake questionnaire (16). Potential predictors for dropout derived from E-CSM of Self- Regulation. To develop a model to predict dropout in IPMPs 18 potential predictors were derived from 4 categories of the E-CSM of Self-Regulation (8, 18): 1: Illness representations; 2: Treatment beliefs; 3: Emotional representations: pain self- efficacy, pain catastrophizing, anxiety and depression; and 4: Coping procedures for illness and emotion: pain catastrophizing (see Fig. 1), as described below. All 18 potential predictors were collected during baseline assessment. Illness representations (category 1). The Brief Illness Percep- tion Questionnaire Dutch language version measured illness representations and emotional representations (Brief IPQ-DLV) (19). The Brief IPQ covers 5 domains of illness representations, as described in the E-CSM of Self-Regulation by Leventhal (7, 18): consequences, timeline, control, identity, cause. The Brief IPQ-DLV has 8 items rated using a 0–10 NRS for each item. The Brief IPQ is a reliable instrument to measure illness representations (19). Treatment beliefs (category 2). Treatment beliefs were measu- red with the Dutch translation and adaptation of the Treatment Beliefs Questionnaire (TBQ), as designed by Cooper et al., (20, 21). The translated TBQ consists of 11 items on a 5-point Likert scale (“totally disagree”, “disagree”, “neutral”, “agree” and “totally agree”). Confirmatory factor analysis determined that there were 3 domains: “necessity”, “concerns” and “practical barriers”. Psychometric properties were investigated and consi- dered to be fair to good. Internal consistency was fair to good, with alpha values ranging from 0.66 to 0.87. Reproducibility was high, with a small measurement error for both the “neces- sity” and “concerns” subscales. Reliability for the “practical barriers” subscale was fair. Emotional representations (category 3): Pain self-efficacy (category 3). Pain self- efficacy (emotional representations) was measured with the Dutch Pain Self Efficacy Questionnaire (PSEQ) (16, 22, 23). The PSEQ asks patients to take the pain into account when rating their self-efficacy in cer- tain activities and tasks grouped within 10 items. Each item was scored on a 7-point scale, ranging from 0 (“not at all confident”) to 6 (“completely confident”). Total scores ranged from 0 to 60, with higher scores indicating stronger self-efficacy beliefs. This instrument has been shown to be valid and reliable (22, 23). Anxiety and depression (category 3). Anxiety and depression (emotional representations) were measured with the Hospital Anxiety and Depression scale (HADS) (24, 25). The HADS is 763 a valid and reliable 14-item short self-rating screening tool of anxiety (7 items) and depression (7 items), scored on a 4-point Likert scale (0–3) (24, 25). Higher scores on the 2 domains indicate greater levels of depression or anxiety. Pain catastrophizing (categories 3, 4). Pain catastrophizing (emotional representations and coping procedures for illness and emotion) was assessed with the Dutch version of the Pain Catastrophizing Scale (PCS) (26, 27). Pain catastrophizing can be defined as: “an exaggerated negative mental set brought to bear during actual or anticipated painful experience”. One’s imagination plays a role in anticipating negative outcomes, which results in a cascade of negative cognitive and emotional responses to pain: rumination (“I can’t stop thinking about how much it hurts”), magnification (“I worry that something serious may happen”), and helplessness (“It’s awful and I feel that it overwhelms me”) (26, 27). Patients were asked to reflect on past painful experiences and to indicate whether they experienced one of the 13 thoughts or feelings during pain on a 5-point scale. A PCS total score is calculated by summing the scores for all 13 items; thus, total scores range from 0 to 52. Higher scores correspond to more catastrophizing thoughts. The PCS has been shown to be valid and reliable (26, 27, 39). Statistical analysis All analyses were performed with the statistical software package SPSS (version 23) for Windows (IBM SPSS Statistics 23). First, descriptive statistics (frequencies, QQ plots, means and standard deviation (SD)) were computed for all potential predictors to check the quality of the data. To check for multi- collinearity, Spearman correlations were calculated between the potential predictors of dropout, and a cut-off score of 0.70 was used (28) (Table SI 1 ). Baseline differences were tested between the dropout group (DG) and the completer group (CG) for de- mographic and clinical variables derived from the E-CSM of Self-Regulation, with Pearson’s χ 2 tests for categorical variables and independent Welch t-tests for continuous variables. Statistical analyses were carried out in 2 phases. First, explo- ratory univariate logistic regression analyses were performed on 18 potential predictors (Brief IPQ – 8 items), (TBQ – 3 do- mains), (PSEQ – total score), (PCS total score and 3 domains) and (HADS –2 domains) to identify predictors of dropout, which could be considered for inclusion in multiple logistic regression analyses. The most significant variables with p-values < 0.20 were considered for inclusion in the multiple logistic regression model. To determine the model that best predicted dropout, a forward stepwise procedure was performed to select the variables that were most significant and had clinical relevance. The number of dropouts (n = 35) found in this study limited the possibilities of including more than 4 variables, as the minimum number of events per variable (EPV) required in multiple logistic regres- sion analyses has been suggested to be at least 10 (29). First the potential predictor with the strongest association was considered for inclusion in multiple logistic regression analyses, followed by the next best one, etc. Estimates of association were presented as odds ratios (ORs), along with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was performed to assess how well the model fitted the data (28). To describe the discrimination of the model, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was calculated. http://www.medicaljournals.se/jrm/content/?doi=10.2340/16501977-2609 1 J Rehabil Med 51, 2019