James | Bitton Retail Team Investment Services | Page 7
Market Knowledge
Q1 2014 | RETAIL
GION
GREATER COLUMBUS RE
RETAIL TRENDS REPORT
r
E-Commerce Paves Way Fo
New Retail Scene
EW
z
chains are finding their e-bi
products online, most big
ations.
U.S. retailers now selling
e-focused warehouse oper
With about 92 percent of
conventional stor
itional locations alongside
at the end of 2011, and that
arms outgrowing their trad
a nearly $200 billion business
NAIOP, e-commerce was
as many have
According to a report by
the region are following suit
ss
. Big box retail stores acro
est 32,065 square feet of
is expected to double by 2016
number
s in particular, saw a mod
nt opportunities. Columbu
d. The vacancy rate
become prime redevelopme
in a row of this upward tren
quarter, the eighth quarter
ar Tree
first
e signed this quarter by Doll
positive absorption in the
wer
percent. Significant leases
tly and remains stable at 9.3
at Graceland Shopping
feet
dropped sligh
pping Center (9,150 square
bury Plaza), Graceland Sho
(9,059 square feet at Sun
sing Shopping Center).
00 square feet at Powell Cros
Plus (9,0
Center), and Pets Supplies
TIONS
, over 1.34 million square
FORECASTS AND REFLEC
sign for retailers. Currently
increase, which is a good
fourth quarter. Two
• Construction continues to
square feet more than the
in Central Ohio, over 212,000
feet), and Polaris
feet is under construction
The Lane (67,500 square
as
pleted in the first quarter
e ground
significant projects were com
rs. Several projects have brok
ume
re feet) are now open to cons
e-foot Giant Eagle at
of Commerce (13,913 squa
Centers
y include the 94,340-squar
Significant projects underwa
ket St. and Main
over the past three months.
hood center located at Mar
24,338-square-foot neighbor
p’s
w.
on Parkway, Daimler Grou
on Fifth project in Grandvie
Britt
re-foot The View
ve Real Estate’s 23,000-squa
in
St. in New Albany, and Solo
e investment opportunities
begin to look for prim
inues to blossom, buyers will
ble sales
• As the retail market cont
well performing assets. Nota
rs will look to dispose of their
(18,353 SF), and
this asset class, just as selle
097 SF), Mill Valley Plaza
de Cleveland-Innis Plaza (42,
ng 3700 Fishinger
ions for first quarter inclu
transact
the Kroger Company selli
SF). Big Box sales included
3575 W. Dublin
Strawberry Plaza (12,432
ington Coat Factory selling
ert Weiler Company, and Burl
levard (100,000 SF) to Rob
2)
Bou
s Activity on Page
to Devonshire REIT. (See Sale
RENTAL RATES
Granville Road (90,700 SF)
RVI
COLUMBUS REGION OVE
Q1
Q2
2014
2014*
VACANCY
NET ABSORPTION
CONSTRUCTION
RENTAL RATES
—
wing quarter
*Projected change to follo
PLETIONS AND
VACANCY RATE OVER COM
GE, BIG BOX BACK
RENTAL RATES CONVER
Asking Rates
s
$11.04
$10.91
$10.67
$12.00
$10.00
$8.00
$5.99
$6.00
Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14
Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13
Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12
Big Box
Community
Neighborhood
Anchored Strip
bus
Completions and Ansorption
$14.00
www.colliers.com/colum
14.0%
900,000
$16.00
$4.00
ABSORPTIONS
12.0%
700,000
10.0%
9.3%
500,000
8.0%
300,000
100,000
(100,000)
(300,000)
6.0%
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
12 12 12 13 13 13 13 14
10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12
08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10
(500,000)
(700,000)
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
Completions
Absorption
Vacancy Rate
Vacancy Rate
MARKET INDICATORS
The average asking
rental rates for Big Box
has seen a slight
increase to $5.99, from
its previous low of
$5.92. Anchored and
strip
neighborhood
centers rates have met
around the $11.00
region
The
mark.
posted positive results
during the first quarter
in 2014, with vacancy
rates remaining stable
at 9.3 percent.