International Journal on Criminology Volume 2, Number 1, Spring 2014 | Seite 37

Criminal State and Illicit Economy Beyond the international reaction triggered by the death of Sergueï Magnitsky, the case, 230 million dollars seemingly defrauded, allegedly with the complicity of several officials in relations with Russian organized crime, would seem, if confirmed, to embody what the Spanish prosecutor described. The Illicit Economy: A Suppletive and Alternative Model of Development A fact often misunderstood when it is simply considered, organized crime and illicit markets, just as the Cold War in the twentieth century and colonization in the nineteenth, grew to become a new geopolitical framework of the twenty-first century. They influence the evolution of society both at global and local levels as surely as the decisions taken within the G20, the World Trade Organization (WTO), or the International Monetary Fund (IMF) 59 . They also fuel a double phenomenon of politicization of crime and criminalization of politics 60 . That is why beyond traditional divides between North and South, developed, emerging, and least developed economies, a paradigm shift is probably at play whereby 'functional' states, and areas within them, are found able to limit the criminal influence below the limit of what can be deemed acceptable and the others, where organized crime and illicit trades represent both a suppletive and alternative model of development. A consequence of the Social Pact, transition from Behemoth to Leviathan (Hobbes), the legitimacy of state derives from its ability to provide security, employment, and reasonable prospects in climbing the social ladder. When failing to do so, the vacuum is often filled, in various areas of the world, including of course within developed countries, by criminal actors. In the end the state loses its legitimacy. This is the demise of the Social Pact. The illicit economy, held up as a suppletive and alternative model of development, corrodes the licit sphere through corruption and the laundering of proceeds of crime. Thus, organized crime and illicit markets embody a new "invisible hand" 61 . And that is precisely the point if one wants to truly grasp the dynamic between licit and illicit economy nowadays. It is impossible to understand the effect of counterfeiting without considering the importance of this industry for some regions and states. It is impossible to shed light on small arms and light weapons trafficking without considering the role played by its intermediaries, small players in a greater cause (reason of state). It is impossible to understand the complexity of irregular migration without considering that for some economies the money sent back home, in hard currencies, from the migrants "lucky" enough to land themselves an undeclared work in Europe or North America can represent an essential part of the national GDP, thus contributing to prevention of social unrest. It is impossible again to grasp the issue of grand corruption, tax evasion, and money 59 Mickaël R. Roudaut, Marchés criminels—Un acteur global, Op. cit. 60 M. Naím, “The Drug Trade: The Politicization of Criminals and the Criminalization of Politicians”, Global Commission on Drug Policies, January 2011, 8. 61 Mickaël R. Roudaut, Géopolitique de l’illicite—la nouvelle main invisible, Op. cit. and Marchés criminels—Un acteur global. "In economics, the invisible hand of the market is a metaphor to describe the self-regulating behavior of the marketplace. The idea of markets automatically channeling self-interest toward socially desirable ends 35