INTERNATIONAL FORUM Modeling of politics, human decision making, finan | Page 4

12:10-13:10

10:50-11:00

Coffee break

11:00-11:40

11:40-12:10

Quantum theory of Human Decision Making,

Didier Sornette, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland

Lunch

13:10-14:30

Session II: Modeling the Financial Risks, the Crisis,

Chair D. Sornette

13:10-13:55

Continuous-Time Markov-Switching Multifractal Models: Their Estimation and Application in Risk Management,

Thomas Lux, Kiel University, Germany

Armenia

13:55-14:30

Financial bubbles in Cantor-Lipmann continuous time model,

Alexander Shananin, Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology, Moscow, Russia

Armenia

14:30-14:45

Coffee break

Collective Decisions in Gambling games based on Ratchets,

Juan Parrondo, Madrid University, Spain

Ao Ping, Shanghai Center for Systems Biomedicine, Shanghai, China