International Dealer News IDN 140 December 2017 / January 2018 | Page 7

STAT ZONE Germany: motorcycle sales down eight percent for the first 10 months German registrations - Year-to-date 2017 2016 150,000 TOTAL PTW 50,000 -8.01% 100,000 2017 -11.76% Euro 3 models that were pre-registered in the final quarter of 2016 will still have been “new” machines as far as consumers are concerned and will have been sold during the first half of this year, artificially reducing the apparent market performance. The pre- registrations pushed the German 2016 statistics to show an artificially high +15.01 percent, German new motorcycle registrations having been +5.59 percent and +10 .75 percent for 2015 and 2014 respectively. In total PTW registration terms, October 2017 was down by -16.30 percent (6,392 units), having been only marginally down in July at -0.90 percent (15,304 units), - 9.22 percent in August and -21.87 percent in September. For the first ten months of 2017 registrations were -11.76 percent at 132,333 units. As usual these days, BMW’s R 1200 GS continues its inexorable march towards global domination, having sold 7,973 units so far in 2017, leaving Yamaha’s The latest statistics released by the German motorcycle industry trade association (IVM) for the period to the end of October 2017 may still be showing some evidence of the effects of the rush to pre-register Euro 3 inventory before the December 31st 2016 deadline, but the degree of statistical lag caused for the year is now becoming clear. In motorcycle registration terms, the market was down by -14.18 percent in October (4,085 units), having been up by +5.82 percent in July (10,593 units) and down by -3.40 percent in August and -22.46 percent in September. New registrations in Germany are said to be running at -8.01 percent for the first ten months of the year, but allowing for the Euro 3 pre-registrations and other factors affecting dealer inventory and unit sales for 2017, the market is, in all probability, broadly ‘flat’ for 2017 so far, in the region between -2.5 and +2.5 percent in motorcycle sales terms. Though heavily incentivised units, the MOTORCYCLE MOTORC RC CYCLE MT-07 eating its dust in second with 3,397 units sold, followed by the Kawasaki Z 650 (2,590 units), Honda’s CRF 1000 ‘Africa Twin’ (2,454 units) and Kawasaki’s Z 900 (2,125 units). With 7 models in the top 20 selling list, it is again no surprise that BMW is motorcycle and total PTW market share leader so far this year in Germany, with 24,255 units sold so far for an 18.33 percent increased market share. Honda is second (16,984 units sold for a 12.83 percent market share), with Yamaha third (16,022 units sold for a 12.11 percent market share), followed by KTM, Kawasaki, Piaggio, Harley- Davidson, Ducati, Suzuki and Triumph tenth. Spain: motorcycle registrations -3.8 percent YTD through October According to the latest data available from ANESDOR, the motorcycle industry trade association in Spain, new motorcycle registrations were up by 0.7 percent in October (12,259 units) and are -7.2 percent for the first ten months of 2017 (117,489 YTD). Because of the statistical effects of Euro 3 pre-registrations at the end of 2016, ANESDOR has revised down its full-year 2017 forecast to -12.7 percent, but that doesn’t take into account the fact that, from a dealer and consumer point of view, and regardless of how heavily incentivised the Euro 3 carry- over inventory will have represented additional showroom sales, which the 2017 registration figures can’t include. The moped market in Spain in October was up by +31.6 percent (2,002 units) and at 17,606 units YTD the sector is +23 percent through October. As elsewhere in Europe, it should be noted though that mopeds are now going through a similar (if statistically smaller) pre-registration issue to that experienced in motorcycle sales at the end of 2016. New EU emissions regulations for mopeds come into effect on January 1st 2018. UK motorcycle registrations -15.3% Yamaha (1,003), BMW (522) and Triumph (504). The MCIA reports that the total number of road registered motorcycles in use has continued to grow, with the latest available figures putting the number of “regular users of PTWs” at 1.445 million units in total, a nine-year high. UK registrations - Year-to-date 2017 2017 2016 150,000 TOTAL PTW -15.26% 50,000 -15.56% 100,000 the Euro 3/Euro 4 impacts are taken into consideration, then he thinks the real picture for the UK market this year will be ‘flat’, if not slightly up on 2016, at around 107,000 to 110,000 units. ‘Naked’ style bikes remain the most popular in the UK (27,631 units YTD), which is relative growth compared to other styles of bikes at -10.0 percent in a motorcycle market that is down -15.25 percent overall), followed by Adventure Sport models (16,510 units YTD, up by +1.4 percent). The UK scooter market has seen sales drop by -28.8 percent YTD (16,270 units) and the historically dominant Supersport market is down -25.8 percent (8,589 units YTD). Honda was overall market share leader in October (motorcycles and scooters), having sold 1,554 units, followed by The latest data released by the MCIA (Motorcycle Industry Association) in the UK shows new motorcycle registrations in September down by -13.65 percent (6,686 units), following -18.54 percent in August and -24.04 percent in September (11,276 units). On a year to date basis, the UK market is -15.25 percent (86,291 units). Moped sales were -17.39 percent in October and are running at -19.86 percent year-to-date (5,902 units). In total PTW terms the UK was down -13.99 percent in October (7,332 units in total) and running at -15.56 percent YTD (92,193 units). However, as elsewhere in Europe, the statistics are misleading due to the Euro 3 inventory pre-registration issue. British Dealer News recently reported MCIA CEO Tony Campbell as saying that when MOTORCYCLE INTERNATIONAL DEALER NEWS - DECEMBER 2017 / JANUARY 2018 7