Intelligence Brief 23 December Issue | Page 2

Saudi Arabia says one more person has died from a new respiratory virus related to SARS, bringing to 56 the number of deaths in the kingdom at the center of the outbreak. The Health Ministry said that a 73-yearold, chronically ill man had died in a Riyadh hospital. He was among 136 people who have been infected with the virus in Saudi Arabia since September last year. The ministry also says three new cases have been detected, including two foreign women working in the kingdom’s health care services and a Saudi man. The new virus is related to SARS, or severe acute respiratory syndrome, which killed some 800 people in a global outbreak in 2003. December 23, 2013 Alerts: North America The security situation in Egypt is parlous. Demonstrations continue throughout the country, oftentimes accompanied by sporadic exchanges of violence between protestors and security forces and/or residents.  This past weekend, demonstrations spawned confrontations that resulted in police dispersing tear gas in response to protestors burning tires to block roads, throwing rocks and Molotov cocktails, and to separate rival groups. Islamist consolidation of power over the rebellion in Battles between rival ethnic groups spread across South Sudan as foreign governments scrambled to get their nationals away from reported slaughters and a refugee buildup. Three US aircraft came under fire from rebel forces on Saturday while trying to evacuate Americans from a spiraling conflict in South Sudan. Four were wounded in the attacks. Nearly a week of fighting in South Sudan threatens to drag the world’s newest country into a Dinka-Nuer ethnic civil war just two years after it won independence from Sudan with strong support from successive US administrations. The US aircraft came under fire while approaching the evacuation site. Syria has thrown US policy in Syria close to failure. The Western backed Supreme Military Council is in tatters and its leader General Salim Idriss had to flee the country when Islamists took over warehouses with much of the Western provided supplies, including lethal equipment. Some strategists have predicted that the Syrian conflict will continue for several years and there is little likelihood of serious peace negotiations. At this point is probably impossible to find credible representatives to sit across the table from Bashar Assad’s representative in Geneva as the only rebels who would show up have no influence on the battlefield. Members of the Islamic Front, a group of six Islamist groups supported and funded by the Saudis, claim differences with the al-Qaeda groups but the Islamic Front is opposed to attending the Geneva negotiations that are supposed to find a political peace in January as the goal and intent to have Assad remove himself from the Syrian leadership has clearly failed. The Islamic Front is much stronger than the SMC and is almost daily being a magnet for Western jihadis to join them in the battle.