Institutional Investor All American Research Team | Page 6

64/research & rankings THE FUTURIST THE CHARTIST CONTENTS INSIDE II OP DE II OPENING CAPITAL THE 2012 ALL-AMERICA RESEARCH TEAM INVESTING RESEARCH & RANKINGS THE FUTURIST THE CHARTIST CONTEAM INVESTING continue to pick up market share at least over the next few quarters and should significantly outpace the all-terrain vehicle industry,” he says. The stock was trading at $75.19 in late August; Badishkanian has a price target of $94. Thor “saw solid sales improvement through July,” he says, and that will boost margins. His target is $40 — 27.2 percent above the share price in late August. — P .S. $148.82, on the strength of the St. Louis–based bakery-café chain’s growth prospects. In July the company reported that revenue had risen 17.6 percent year-over-year in the second quarter, to $530.6 million, and by late August the stock had climbed 4.1 percent, to $154.90, outpacing the sector by 7.9 percentage points. — K.G. at $51.07. Grom’s research “has always been rooted in frequent store checks, which enable him to catch meaningful inflection points that other analysts often miss,” applauds one fan. — K.G. ALTERNATIVE ENERGY J.P. Morgan RETAILING/FOOD & DRUG CHAINS Meredith Adler Barclays RETAILING/BROADLINES & DEPARTMENT STORES RESTAURANTS Charles Grom John Glass Deutsche Bank Securities Morgan Stanley The buy side says: “He knows his companies better than anyone else, and it shows.” I TOBACCO ENERGY Brian Tunick Gregory Melich n first place for a third year running is John Glass, 48, of Morgan Stanley. “He’s an outstanding analyst who thinks outside the bun and works very hard to deliver value,” proclaims one client. Glass, who is based in Boston, is tentative on his sector — but optimistically so. “Restaurants have a way of outperforming the market,” he says, pointing out that in nine of the past 12 years, the space managed to do just that. He is currently offering investors three main pillars of advice: Diversify by choosing stocks with global exposure; “play defense” by staying in companies with strong, resilient franchises; and “focus on names that have idiosyncratic sales drivers.” One example of the latter is Panera Bread Co. He upgraded the stock from neutral to overweight in January, at of any analyst in any sector,” insists one buy-side supporter. — K.G. RETAILING/SPECIALTY STORES RETAILING/HARDLINES The buy side says: “John Glass is a beacon across the sea of sameness.” sector given to extremes, Brian’s detailed models and industry experience help investors keep things in perspective,” notes one money manager. — K.G. brings a perspective that many equity analysts lack,” observes one booster. — K.G. C harles Grom rockets to the top after having fallen from the roster last year; he is also a runner-up in Retailing/ Food & Drug Chains. The 38-year-old joined Deutsche Bank Securities in July 2011 after covering retailers for nine years at J.P. Morgan; he earned a bachelor’s degree in economics and accounting at the College of the Holy Cross in Worcester, Massachusetts. “It’s paramount to be aligned with retailers that have structurally stronger business models and/or those that operate with favorable sector tailwinds,” he contends. Dollar General Corp. is one such company. Grom upgraded the Goodlettsville, Tennessee–based chain from hold to buy in December, at $39.47, citing increases in store traffic, square footage and sales. Through August the stock rang up a gain of 29.4 percent, closing I N S T I T U T I O N A L I N V E S T O R . C O M • O C T O B E R 2 012 The buy side says: “She knows everything there is to know about the companies she covers.” B arclays’s Meredith Adler, 58, lands at No. 1 for an 11th consecutive year. “Dollar stores, which serve the low end very conveniently, and healthy living companies, which serve a specific niche of consumers, will both generally fare well,” she believes, whereas “mature retailers in food and drug are more likely to be under some pressure.” The All-America Research Team Hall of Famer upgraded Family Dollar Stores from equal weight to overweight in October 2011, at $53.90, citing the Matthews, North Carolina–based discount retailer’s growth prospects. In June, after the stock had jumped 35.2 percent, to $72.85, and beat the sector by 18.1 percentage points, she moved it back to equal weight. 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