Ingenieur Vol.70 Apr-June 2017 ingenieur Apr-June 2017-FA | Page 38

INGENIEUR Climate Change Projection in Cameron Highlands using the Regional Climate Model By Tan Kok Weng and Loh Phui Nying Faculty of Engineering and Green Technology Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman Massive flooding in the Cameron Highlands in October 2013 raised the concern of local people to water planning and management. The Cameron Highlands was selected as the study area to conduct a climate change projection (1980–2069). The Regional Climate Model was used to project Cameron Highlands’ temperature and precipitation. Bias correction of the simulated data was done to remove common projection model errors. After correction, the maximum, minimum and mean temperatures are estimated to rise by 3.8°, 1.8° and 2.8 °C in 100 years’ time. The corrected annual pr ecipitation indicates a rise in rainfall amount of 2.32mm per year (23.2 mm per 10 years or 231.8mm per 100 years). C ameron Highlands has been selected as the study area to conduct a climate change projection. Situated in the northwest of Pahang Sate in Peninsular Malaysia (Figure 1), Cameron Highlands (4°28’N 101°23’E) has a total area of 710 km 2 (Fortuin, 2006). The average elevation is approximately 1,180m and the highest peak is Mount Brinchang at 2,032m (Tenaga National Berhad Research, 2009). Thus, the temperature of Cameron Highlands is significantly lower than Malaysia’s lowlands due to its high altitude. The Meteorological Station Cameron Highlands (MMD) recorded a temperature range between 15°C and 25.4°C with an average temperature of 6 36 VOL 2017 VOL 70 55 APRIL-JUNE JUNE 2013 Brinchang, Cameron Highlands 19.4°C in 2014. The highest number of days in a month with rain was 23 days The mean monthly rainfall was 95.8mm with the maximum of 365.1mm and minimum of 8.9mm (MMD, 2009). High intensity rain can result in flash flooding. On October 22 and 23, 2013, unusual intense downpours brought a huge volume of water to the Ringlet Reservoir, along with solid waste, debris and silt which caused a rapid increase of the water level within a short period of time (The Malay Mail Online, 2013b). Such accumulation of silt and sediments caused the reservoir’s holding capacity to drop drastically. As a result, excess water had to be discharged in stages from the Sultan Abu Bakar Dam. This action resulted in around 80 houses being engulfed by strong currents (The Malay Mail Online, 2013a). This incident resulted in a few deaths and much destruction of property.