Indian Politics & Policy Volume 3, Number 1, Spring 2020 | Page 74

Indian Politics & Policy Rashtriya Janta Dal (RJD) in Bihar and the Samajwadi Party (SP) in UP ruled in their respective states for years. Of late, these parties, often referred to as social justice parties, appear to have lost their hold on one of their core constituencies of support, that is, the OBCs. As a result, the parties have suffered so much so in successive elections in recent years that they appear to be facing a deep existential crisis. The decline of social justice parties such as RJD and the SP coincided with the phenomenal rise of the BJP. Given the relative size of OBCs in the Hindi belt, much of the BJP’s recent outstanding electoral performance is attributed, and rightly so, to huge support coming from OBCs. But given the BJP’s primary base of support (the forward castes) and its ideological unease with caste-based affirmative action, its ability to cut into a huge chunk of OBC votes raises many important questions. Did OBCs ever constitute a politically cohesive group, at least in the Hindi belt, if not nationally? If they did, even to some extent, why could they not hold together? Conversely, how has the BJP been able to garner so much support from the OBCs? What does the shift in political preference of OBCs imply for so-called social justice parties? This paper aims to address these questions. To this end, India’s Hindi belt is chosen as the site of the study. For a nuanced understanding, the focus is further narrowed down to two states— Bihar and UP—mainly for five reasons. First and foremost, the relative share of OBCs in the overall population of the two states is far greater than the national average. According to latest estimates, OBCs account for about 62.6 percent and 54.5 percent of the total population of Bihar and UP, respectively, in comparison to 44 percent in the country as a whole (NSSO 2011–2012). Second, the two states were the epicenter of intense political mobilization of OBCs in the late 1980s and early 1990s under the banner of social justice. Third, the two states also saw the rise of parties whose political agenda, policies, and programs gave clear preference to the promotion and protection of this group’s interests, which consists of a broad range of castes. Fourth, in spite of the deeply entrenched politics of social justice in the two states, the BJP has, in recent years, made both wide and deep cuts into OBC votes. Fifth, about a quarter of parliamentary constituencies are located here. Given this, the party that performs well in these two states also controls power at the Centre. Put another way, the outcomes of parliamentary elections in these two states tend to play an important role in shaping the national political discourse and exert substantial influence on party politics at the national level. The rest of the paper is structured as follows. The following section takes a quick look at how the notion of OBCs has been shaped historically. It is followed by a discussion on the political mobilization of OBCs in the Hindi belt. The paper then proceeds to analyze changing political preferences among OBCs and the underlying factors and political meanings. The final section concludes the discussion. 70