Indian Politics & Policy Volume 3, Number 1, Spring 2020 | Page 41

Do Issues Matter in Indian Elections? Table 2: Top Four Issues in Elections, 2009, 2014, and 2019 in Percentages Most Important Issues, 2019 Most Important Issues, 2014 Important Problem of Voters Government Must Solve, 2009 1 Development (15) Price Increase (20) Drinking Water (17) 2 Un/Employment (11) Corruption (12) Unemployment (14) 3 Price Rise (4) Development (10) Price Increases (9) 4 Corruption (3) Un/Employment (8) Electricity (7) Source: Authors’ Calculation based on Lokniti-CSDS, NES (2009, 2014, 2019). For 2019, n=24034, 2014, n=22295, 2009, n=7347. by making it an election issue. In 2019, although price increase and corruption were among the top four election issues, less than 4 percent of the voters considered them to be their most important election issue. We have further evidence from NES about the respondents’ beliefs about the party they thought raised the issues that mattered to the voters in 2014. The BJP tops the list, with 25 percent support from respondents, followed by Congress at 15 percent (for the 2019 general election, this question was not included). Election Issues and Party Manifesto Electoral issues mentioned in party manifestos or during election campaigns by incumbent government or opposition parties are of much importance as they decide the priorities of political parties when one (on its own or in coalition with other parties) comes to power. Whether a party (or parties) follows the promises made in the elections or not depends on several grounds, including intentions, ideology, pressure from international financial institutions and homegrown industries, and political constraints arising due to forming a coalition. For instance, in his speech after becoming the Chief Minister of Delhi for the second time on February 14, 2015, Arvind Kejriwal mentioned people are looking to see that the government intends to fulfill the promises made. 25 It has also been mapped that Kejriwal was able to bring “commonplace issues,” such as corruption and governance, to the forefront and make them national issues in a state election, instead of taking advantage of social cleavages, or noting other state-level issues, as is the trend with political newcomers. 26 To understand the priorities and issues raised during elections by two dominant political parties in 2014 and 2019, we analyze in Table 3 their manifestos and the issues mentioned there. The issues presented here in order of appearance in the manifestos that might reflect the hierarchy/priority of 37