Indian Politics & Policy Volume 3, Number 1, Spring 2020 | Page 33

Economic Evaluations and the Incumbent Vote in India’s Parliamentary Elections (2014, 2019) Notes 1 I thank Sanjay Kumar (Lokniti, CSDS) for generously sharing NES data. I also thank two anonymous reviewers for their insightful comments. All errors remain my own. 2 Raymond Duch, “Comparative Studies of the Economy and the Vote,” in The Oxford Handbook of Comparative Politics, ed. Charles Boix and Susan Stokes (New York: Oxford University Press, 2007); Michael Lewis-Beck and Mary Stegmaier, “Economic Models of the Vote,” in The Oxford Handbook of Political Behavior, ed. Russell Dalton and Hans-Dieter Klingemann (New York: Oxford University Press, 2007); Raymond Duch and Randolph Stevenson, The Economic Vote: How Political and Economic Institutions Condition Election Results (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2008); Thiago Silva and Guy D. Whitten, “Clarity of Responsibility and Vote Choice,” The SAGE Handbook of Electoral Behaviour 1 (2017): 80–91. 3 Duch and Stevenson, The Economic Vote. 4 John Ferejohn, “Incumbent Performance and Electoral Control,” Public Choice 50 (1986): 5–25. 5 Alberto Alesina and Howard Rosenthal, Partisan Politics, Divided Government, and the Economy (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1995). 6 Bingham Powell and Guy Whitten, “A Cross-National Analysis of Economic Voting: Taking Account of the Political Context,” American Journal of Political Science 37 (1993): 391–414; Larry Bartels and John Zaller, “Presidential Vote Models: A Recount,” Political Science and Politics 34 (2001): 9–19. 7 Michael Lewis-Beck, Economics and Elections: The Major Western Democracies (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1988); Duch and Stevenson, 1; Michael Lewis-Beck, Richard Nadeau, and Angelo Elias, “Economics, Party, and the Vote,” American Journal of Political Science 52 (2008): 84–95; D. Roderic Kiewiet, Macroeconomics and Micropolitics: The Electoral Effects of Economic Issues (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1983). 8 Kiewiet, Macroeconomics and Micropolitics. 9 Michael Alvarez and Jonathan Nagler, “Economics, Entitlements, and Social Issues: Voter Choice in the 1996 Presidential Election,” American Journal of Political Science 42 (1998): 1349–63. 10 Duch and Stevenson, 1. 11 Lewis-Beck, Nadeau, and Elias, “Economics, Party, and the Vote,” 84 12 K.C. Suri, “The Economy and Voting in the 15th Lok Sabha Elections,” Economic and Political Weekly 44 (2009): 64–70. 13 Ibid., 69. 14 Donald Stokes, “Spatial Models of Party Competition,” American Political Science Review 57 (1963): 368-77; Ruth Dassoneville and Michael Lewis-Beck, “Economic Policy Voting and Incumbency: Unemployment in Western Europe,” Political Science Research and Methods1 (2013): 53–66. 15 J. Scott Long, Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables (New York: SAGE Publications, 1997); Fred Pampel, Logistic Regression: A Primer (Thousand Oaks: SAGE Publications, 2000). 29