Indian Politics & Policy Volume 3, Number 1, Spring 2020 | Page 11

Introduction There are reasons for the BJP to celebrate its 2019 victory. At the moment, the party enjoys enormous popular support, but the BJP would be making a mistake if it failed to recognize that some proportion of the votes it received is critical, which could swing away from the party if the government fails to address the economic issues of regular people. The BJP benefitted from the anti-incumbency mood of the voters against Congress, which was the ruling party in many states between 2014 and 2019. That five-year cycle is over now and in many states, the BJP is the ruling party and there is no anti-incumbency against Congress in these states. The BJP’s performance in various state assembly elections held after the 2019 Lok Sabha elections (Haryana, Maharashtra, Jharkhand, and Delhi) is a testimony to the BJP’s vulnerability if it fails to perform on the economic front or when it up against a strong regional party or against a formidable state-level leader. Notes 1 UPA is an alliance of eleven political parties for the 2019 Lok Sabha election. Led by Congress, its members were Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam, Rashtriya Janata Dal, the Nationalist Congress Party, Janata Dal (Secular), the Rashtriya Lok Samta Party, Jharkhand Mukti Morcha, the Communist Party of India (Marxist), Hindustani Awam Morcha, the Vikassheel Insaan Party, the Communist Party of India, Indian Union Muslim League, the Jan Adhikar Party, Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi, Jharkhand Vikas Morcha (Prajantantrik), Swabhimani Paksha, Bahujan Vikas Aaghadi, the Communist Party of India (Marxist-Leninist) Liberation, Kerala Congress (M), the Revolutionary Socialist Party, Kongunadu Makkal Desia Katchi, Indhiya Jananayaga Katchi, Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam, Jammu & Kashmir National Conference, Navaneet Kaur (independent candidate supported by Congress in Amravati, Maharashtra), Lalnghinglova Hmar (independent candidate supported by Congress in Mizoram), and Surendra Kumar Gupta (independent candidate supported by Congress in Pilibhit, UP). 2 Lok Sabha is composed of the representatives of people elected through direct election on the basis of adult suffrage. It is the Lower House of the Parliament and is made of Ministers of Parliament (MPs). It has 345 seats, and MPs for each seat are elected for a term of five years. The winning party appoints the leader of the Lok Sabha, who is the Prime Minister. 3 BSP was formed in 1984 by the Kanshi Ram. The main objective of the party was to advocate for Dalits and backward classes and work for the betterment of downtrodden and marginalized communities. The BSP had made ground in UP by creating a support base among Dalits, Muslims, and those from most backward classes. The party ran for the first time in the state assembly election in UP in 1989 and won thirteen seats out of 425. In the 2007 state assembly election, the party won 206 seats, with 30.43 percent of the votes, and formed the government. The party is influential in UP, Haryana, Madhya Pradesh, and Chhattisgarh. 4 SP is a social base party, representing backward castes and Muslims in UP. The party was founded by the Mulayam Singh Yadav in 1992 with the support of backward and Muslim leaders. The party ran in the 1993 state assembly election, winning 109 seats with 17.9 percent of the votes. In the 2012 state assembly election, the party gained an absolute majority in the election. 7